Chepstow 15:15 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Jul 2026

Today EBF / Ub40 Ft. Ali Campbell 24th July Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

EBF / Ub40 Ft. Ali Campbell 24th July Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 5f16y

Official Result

EBF / Ub40 Ft. Ali Campbell 24th July Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Amber Ocean (GB) Rossa Ryan · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
    5/1
  2. 5/6F
  3. Third Chianti (GB)
    10/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 29 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Blondie Larry silks
Blondie Larry
Age 2 · 9-7
52
156
2
9-7
10/11 31/19 5/6
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Norham silks
Norham
Age 2 · 9-7
128
2
9-7
20/1 14/1 18/1
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Percy Shaw silks
Percy Shaw
Age 2 · 9-7
84
139
2
9-7
12/1 12/1 11/1
SR 139 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 139 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cash Flow Boy silks
Cash Flow Boy
Age 2 · 9-4
7
124
2
9-4
66/1 FCST 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Chianti silks
Chianti
Age 2 · 9-4
54
136
2
9-4
14/1 17/2 12/1
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Amber Ocean silks
Amber Ocean
Age 2 · 9-2
2
150
2
9-2
10/3 7/4 10/3
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Secret Rival silks
Secret Rival
Age 2 · 9-2
86
143
2
9-2
10/1 7/1 10/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Hailstones In May silks
Hailstones In May
Age 2 · 9-1
06
125
2
9-1
125/1 80/1 100/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Chilli silks
Chilli
Age 2 · 8-13
48
145
2
8-13
17/2 6/1 8/1
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Blondie Larry 10/11 open 2.75 10/11 open 2.63 10/11 open 2.63 10/11 open 2.63 5/6 open 2.63 10/11 Bet365
2 Norham 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
3 Percy Shaw 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Cash Flow Boy 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Chianti 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 14/1 Bet365
6 Amber Ocean 10/3 open 2.75 10/3 open 2.75 10/3 open 2.75 7/2 open 2.75 10/3 open 2.75 7/2 William Hill
7 Secret Rival 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
8 Hailstones In May 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 Bet365
9 Chilli 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Blondie Larry

High conviction

Blondie Larry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Jamie Osborne Saffie Osborne
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Amber Ocean

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
✓ Value Signal

Cash Flow Boy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Charlie Pike
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Blondie Larry
72.1 10/11
2 6. Amber Ocean
68.5 10/3
3 9. Chilli
67.1 17/2
4 7. Secret Rival
64.0 10/1
5 3. Percy Shaw
62.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Blondie Larry
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-7
10/11
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 2 · 8-13
17/2
★★★★☆ SR 145 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-4
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 136 🐾

SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 128 🐾

SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Blondie Larry
Confidence: Medium

Blondie Larry leads the field on SR 156 — a clear 6-point gap over the next-best Amber Ocean (SR 150) — and the market has moved dramatically in its favour, shortening 29% to 10/11, which is a strong signal of informed confidence. The yard combination of Jamie and Saffie Osborne is well-organised and the weight of 9-7 is manageable at evens in a Class 4 novice. The stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1) is the main caveat alongside the modest recent form of 5-2, but a second-placed run last time suggests consistency and the SR indicates raw ability well above most rivals here. Each-way alternative: Chilli. Main danger: Amber Ocean — Amber Ocean carries SR 150 and only 9-2, giving a 5lb weight advantage over Blondie Larry, and its sole run produced a placed effort — however the 59% market drift to 10/3 and 101 days off the track are serious concerns that keep it off the top slot.

Shortlist Blondie Larry, Amber Ocean, Chilli
Each-way: Chilli Danger: Amber Ocean

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f16y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade