Leopardstown 16:20 RESULTED
16 Jul 2026

Today Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden · 0m6f110y

Official Result

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Star Of State (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    1/3F
  2. 12/1
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 30 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Magma King silks
Magma King
Age 2 · 9-8
117
2
9-8
50/1 28/1 50/1
SR 117 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 117 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
This That silks
This That
Age 2 · 9-4
145
2
9-4
6/1 9/2 11/2
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
El Domino silks
El Domino
Age 2 · 9-2
123
2
9-2
28/1 FCST 25/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Scotty Cameron silks
Scotty Cameron
Age 2 · 9-2
121
2
9-2
33/1 22/1 33/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Not You Too silks
Not You Too
Age 2 · 9-1
134
2
9-1
14/1 15/2 12/1
SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Someday Somewhere silks
Someday Somewhere
Age 2 · 9-1
122
2
9-1
25/1 18/1 22/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Star Of State silks
Star Of State
Age 2 · 9-1
2
156
2
9-1
3/10 2/5 3/10
Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Whosinterviewinwho silks
Whosinterviewinwho
Age 2 · 9-0
7
123
2
9-0
33/1 22/1 25/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Dear Theodosia silks
Dear Theodosia
Age 2 · 8-11
124
2
8-11
80/1 50/1 66/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Little Diva silks
Little Diva
Age 2 · 8-9
5
125
2
8-9
125/1 50/1 100/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Pink Venom silks
Pink Venom
Age 2 · 8-9
73
147
2
8-9
8/1 5/1 7/1
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Siege Of Tyre silks
Siege Of Tyre
Age 2 · 8-9
0
125
2
8-9
125/1 50/1 100/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Magma King 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
2 This That 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
3 El Domino 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 28/1 Bet365
4 Scotty Cameron 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Not You Too 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Someday Somewhere 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Star Of State 3/10 open 1.62 1/3 open 1.53 3/10 open 1.50 3/10 open 1.40 3/10 open 1.50 1/3 Coral
8 Whosinterviewinwho 33/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Dear Theodosia 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
10 Little Diva 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365
11 Pink Venom 8/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 Bet365
12 Siege Of Tyre 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Star Of State

High conviction

Star Of State owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/10 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

This That

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · G M Lyons
✓ Value Signal

Dear Theodosia

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Daniel McLoughlin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Star Of State
72.0 3/10
2 2. This That
70.4 6/1
3 11. Pink Venom
68.3 8/1
4 5. Not You Too
62.8 14/1
5 9. Dear Theodosia
53.0 80/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Star Of State
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 9-1
3/10
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 2 · 8-9
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 134 🐾

SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Star Of State
Confidence: High

Star Of State (SR:156, 3/10) is in a different class to the rest of this field — the next-best SR is Pink Venom at 147, then This That at 145, with the remainder well below 130. Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard operates at 15% strike rate with 1,422 runners — a powerful operation — and Dylan Browne McMonagle (15%, 898 rides) is a top-tier booking. Crucially, the market has tightened 14% to an already-dominant 3/10, signalling strong confidence from connections; that's not drifting money, that's informed money doubling down. The sole form run showing a '2' (second place on debut just 8 days ago) in a 2yo maiden is not a concern — it confirms racecourse experience and a level of ability that, combined with an SR of 156 (top-class on the 0-200 scale), makes this horse the clear standout in a €15,000 median sires series. Each-way alternative: Pink Venom. Main danger: This That — This That (SR:145, 6/1) is trained by G M Lyons with Colin Keane aboard — a formidable combination — though the 12% drift is a mild concern; if Star Of State has any setback at the stalls or suffers interference, This That's connections give it the best residual claim.

Shortlist Star Of State, Pink Venom, This That
Each-way: Pink Venom Danger: This That

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m6f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting