INCO Broking Maiden Hurdle · 2m4f85y
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tyson Fury | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Dunaird | 12/1 | — | 11/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Early Dawning | 6/5 open 2.10 | — | evn | evn | 6/5 open 2.00 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 4 Grabat | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 28/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Happy Me | 9/1 open 17.00 | — | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Joly Saphir | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dawn Coming | 5/2 open 3.25 | — | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Eyecanboogie | 80/1 open 101.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 80/1 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Roll It Roisin | 40/1 | — | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Early Dawning owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Early Dawning (SR:152, 6/5) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by 3 points over Dunaird and carries only 11-4, identical to the second-rated runner. The Mullins/Townend combination is the gold standard in Irish NH racing — Townend strikes at 30% from 341 rides, Mullins at 20% from over 1,000 — and this pairing on a lightly-raced 5-year-old in a €7,200 maiden hurdle screams intent. The form reading (3/4-) shows a horse that has had limited runs and is likely being produced fresh after 196 days off, which Mullins regularly does with young horses he rates. At 6/5 the market is clearly in agreement, and the absence of a drift is notable given no going or distance flags of concern. Each-way alternative: Dunaird. Main danger: Dawn Coming — Dawn Coming (SR:125, 5/2) has a consistent form line of 33223- showing repeated placed efforts, is the second-shortest price in the field, and although the market has eased 11% it remains a respected rival — the tongue-tie addition could sharpen a horse that has been knocking on the door without winning.