Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m4f85y
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 140 backed by market confidence at 5/6 — a genuine contender.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Grainne A Chroi | 10/1 open 8.50 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Murcia | 5/6 open 2.38 | — | evn open 2.25 | evn open 2.25 | 5/6 open 2.25 | 4/6 open 2.25 | evn Coral |
| 3 Ardeen Joy | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Diamond Du Berlais | 6/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Run For Mahler | 10/1 open 9.50 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Birdie Or Bust | 4/1 open 4.00 | — | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Taketwotoone | 200/1 open 101.00 | — | 200/1 open 51.00 | 200/1 open 51.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Murcia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (78) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 140 backed by market confidence at 5/6 — a genuine contender.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Murcia (SR:140, 5/6) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this field. The SR of 140 is a full 9 points clear of the next-best Birdie Or Bust (SR:137) and 9 points clear of Diamond Du Berlais (SR:131), and crucially Mullins has deployed Paul Townend — a 30% career strike-rate jockey — confirming this is the yard's number-one runner ahead of stablemate Diamond Du Berlais (Brian Hayes, 10%). The market has already spoken loudly: an 18% inward move to 5/6 is significant positive support. Mullins at 20% across 1,184 runners is a volume trainer who does not send short-priced market leaders to small prizes without intent, and the last-run form figure of '1' confirms the horse arrives in winning form. Each-way alternative: Birdie Or Bust. Main danger: Diamond Du Berlais — As Mullins's second string at 6/1 with the same SR advantage over the lower-rated runners, Diamond Du Berlais retains the class pedigree to fill the frame if Murcia encounters any trouble, though the 16% drift and Brian Hayes booking over Townend clearly signals this is not the yard's primary hope.