Thirsk Sky Bet Summer Festival Day Friday 24th July Handicap Stakes · 0m7f218y
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Capital Guarantee | 9/2 open 9.00 | — | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Degale | 14/1 open 26.00 | — | 12/1 open 23.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Harswell Ruby | 6/4 open 2.75 | — | 15/8 open 2.75 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 15/8 Coral |
| 4 Military Leader | 11/4 open 2.38 | — | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 5 Cosmos Raj | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Barley | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Harswell Ruby owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Capital Guarantee (SR:80, 9/2) is the O'Meara yard's clear #1 runner — the stable's senior apprentice booking on a horse that has shortened 26% in the market, the strongest move in this field. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 6lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-6) gives it a real licence to perform, and its Course:W1P1 record at Thirsk confirms it acts on this track. The form string 020906 is patchy but the class drop plus significant market support suggests connections expect a bounce-back, and at 9-4 it carries a 5lb weight advantage over Military Leader despite superior SR alignment once the mark drop is factored in. Each-way alternative: Barley. Main danger: Harswell Ruby — Harswell Ruby is the even-money favourite, carries the lightest weight in the shortlist at 9-4, holds Course:W1P1 form at Thirsk, and the 7% market move inward shows steady confidence despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:- concerns that the market may be discounting.