Betfred Ladies' Derby Handicap Stakes (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f6y
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 81 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 No Knee Never | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 Carnival Day | 9/4 open 6.50 | — | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 7/4 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 0 Damascus Steel I | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 Galactic Jack | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 Green Team | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 High Fibre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 Jodhpur Blue | 16/1 open 12.00 | — | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 0 Naval Command | 6/1 open 8.00 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 0 Epictetus | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 0 I'd Go Maniac | 11/1 open 7.50 | — | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 0 Pride Of Nepal | 6/1 open 4.00 | — | 7/1 open 4.33 | 7/1 open 4.33 | 15/2 open 4.33 | 7/1 open 5.00 | 15/2 William Hill |
| 0 Shahbaz | 10/1 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Damascus Steel I owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (78) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Carnival Day (SR 90, 9/4) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next-best cluster sits at 79-81, and that advantage is compounded by a massive 48% market move inward — the money is following this horse hard. Course form of W1P4 at Epsom is a genuine asset on a specialist track where track knowledge matters enormously, and a drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) means she faces a more workmanlike field than at her last run. The MarkMv:+3 is a marginal concern but is well outweighed by the class drop, course affinity, and the sheer volume of market confidence. Each-way alternative: Damascus Steel I. Main danger: Damascus Steel I — Damascus Steel I (SR 140) is the only horse in the field with an SR in the competitive handicap range, and a last-time-out win (form 123561) in a higher grade means if she handles the conditions she could blow the rest away on pure ability.