Thirsk 16:10 RESULTED
Class 6 16 Jul 2026

Today Meijer Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes

Meijer Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes · 7f

Official Result

Meijer Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Captain Cess (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll
    3/1
  2. 11/4
  3. 40/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 31 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Captain Cess silks
Captain Cess
Age 4 · 9-12
406-23
55
56
55OR
4
9-12
10/3 2/1 3/1
In the frame twice in his last five outings, including a close third last time, and has raced over today's trip before; a 31-day break is the only query. Yet to win in that sequence, but our rating makes him the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Emerald Army silks
Emerald Army
Age 5 · 9-11
542286
54
57
54OR
5
9-11
6/1 15/2 5/1
Two runner-up finishes among his last six starts show he retains solid form, and he has raced over today's trip before, with a 24-day break no concern. Yet to win in that sequence, but the sort capable of running into the frame again.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Coconut Bay silks
Coconut Bay
Age 7 · 9-10
830743
53
56
53OR
7
9-10
11/4
Third twice in her last six starts and quick to reappear just eight days on, having raced over today's trip before. Yet to win in that sequence, but fit enough now to feature again among the leading contenders.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Fair Isle Sioux silks
Fair Isle Sioux
Age 6 · 9-7
5/65
50
22
50OR
6
9-7
33/1 11/1 33/1
Two fifths and a sixth from just three recent starts, a lightly raced sort who has raced over today's trip before, drawn stall 10. Yet to win in that sequence and rated only 47 by us, she has plenty to find to trouble the principals.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Night Emperor silks
Night Emperor
Age 4 · 9-7
7/8644
50
54
50OR
4
9-7
3/1 4/1 5/2
A pair of fourths headline a modest run of five starts, and he has raced over today's trip before. Yet to win in that sequence, he looks capable of another midfield finish rather than a big step forward.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Elashgar silks
Elashgar
Age 3 · 9-3
831206
53
32
53OR
3
9-3
40/1 16/1 40/1
Elashgar won four starts back and has raced over today's trip before; a below-par sixth last time is the only real blot, but he remains a leading danger on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Misemerald silks
Misemerald
Age 5 · 9-3
-06623
45
42
45OR
5
9-3
10/1 7/1 10/1
Placed in two of her last five starts, including a second two starts back, she has raced over today's trip before and continues in cheekpieces. Yet to win in that sequence, but capable of another respectable showing on this evidence.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Forever Twenty silks
Forever Twenty
Age 3 · 9-2
973603
52
40
52OR
3
9-2
16/1 15/2 16/1
Two thirds in her last six starts hint at some ability, but she's yet to win in that sequence, and the yard is misfiring badly - just 1 winner from 27 runners in the last fortnight. She has raced over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Crown Of Dreams silks
Crown Of Dreams
Age 3 · 9-2
640
52
38
52OR
3
9-2
16/1 17/2 14/1
Lightly raced with just three recent starts and nothing better than a fourth to show, she also returns from a 32-day break for a yard managing only 1 winner from 27 runners lately. Has raced over today's trip before, but sits bottom of these figures.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Breeze Star silks
Breeze Star
Age 3 · 8-10
868-87
45
23
45OR
3
8-10
80/1 33/1 50/1
A run of five finishes no better than sixth tells its own story, and a 38-day absence does nothing to ease the doubts. He has raced over today's trip before and continues in a tongue-tie, but little here suggests a much-improved showing.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Captain Cess 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.00 10/3 Bet365
2 Emerald Army 6/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 10.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Coconut Bay 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 11/4 Bet365
4 Fair Isle Sioux 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Night Emperor 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 6.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.00 10/3 Ladbrokes
6 Elashgar 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 Betfred
7 Misemerald 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
8 Forever Twenty 16/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 Coral
9 Crown Of Dreams 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Breeze Star 80/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Captain Cess

Speculative

Captain Cess owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Declan Carroll Zak Wheatley
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Coconut Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Tristan Davidson
✓ Value Signal

Fair Isle Sioux

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Adam Nicol
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Captain Cess
50.7 10/3
2 3. Coconut Bay
50.1 11/4
3 5. Night Emperor
48.6 3/1
4 2. Emerald Army
47.1 6/1
5 7. Misemerald
41.9 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Coconut Bay
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 9-10
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-11
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Coconut Bay
Confidence: Medium

Coconut Bay (SR:56, 11/4) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a mark dropped 9lb since last win — the most favourable MarkMv of any runner — and a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground. The market has shortened 16% since opening, reflecting genuine support, and trainer Tristan Davidson's 19% strike rate is the best in the field. Carrying 9-10 gives a 2lb advantage over top-weight Captain Cess and sits comfortably in range for a horse dropping down in class. Having run just 8 days ago, the quick turnaround signals connections are targeting this race in form. Each-way alternative: Emerald Army. Main danger: Night Emperor — Night Emperor (SR:54, 3/1) has steamed 32% in the market and carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 9-7, but DistFit:- is a real concern at 7f and the form string of 7/8644 shows no recent win — the market move is the main reason to respect rather than back it.

Shortlist Coconut Bay, Emerald Army, Night Emperor
Each-way: Emerald Army Danger: Night Emperor

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade