Steve Donoghue Handicap Stakes · 1m113y
SR 59 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Penfolds Grange | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Kitaro Kich | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 8.50 | 20/1 open 8.50 | 20/1 open 9.50 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Eutropia | 5/2 open 3.00 | — | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 Coral |
| 4 Bobacious | 8/1 open 12.00 | — | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Trio | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Boston Run | 25/1 open 34.00 | — | 20/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Hurricane Laughter | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Letsbeatsepsis | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Bennyworth | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Trio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Trio (SR:73, 3/1) sits joint-second on ability but carries a favourable 9-8, giving it a meaningful weight edge over Eutropia (10-1) and Penfolds Grange (10-2). DistFit:+ confirms it is proven at this trip, and the market has shortened 22% — meaningful money coming in on a horse that hasn't been opposed. The form string 3-3357 shows consistent placed efforts at this class, and trainer Eve Johnson Houghton's 11% strike rate with a 3-year-old stepping into a Class 5 handicap at a competitive price is a credible combination. At 3/1 with light weight and genuine distance aptitude, Trio represents the best alignment of signals in this field. Each-way alternative: Eutropia. Main danger: Eutropia — Eutropia (SR:74) is the top-rated runner in the field with a DistFit:+ and a strong recent form string of 131152, and while it has drifted 27% and carries 10-1, Tom Marquand's booking and proven distance aptitude make it a genuine threat to reverse the weight disadvantage.