Chepstow 15:50 RESULTED
Class 5 16 Jul 2026

Today Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes

Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes · 1m0f14y

Official Result

Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kodi Fire (IRE) Jason Watson · Charles Hills
    14/1
  2. 5/1
  3. Third Rating (IRE)
    17/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 29 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Stenmark silks
Stenmark
Age 4 · 9-9
-55382
75
83
75OR
4
9-9
4/5 11/10 4/5
Stenmark returns quickly, just seven days after a clear second last time out, and he has already tackled today's trip; rated well clear of this field on our figures, he is the one to beat, with a first win in this sequence the only thing missing.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Echalar silks
Echalar
Age 4 · 9-9
066703
75
68
75OR
4
9-9
13/2 4/1 6/1
Echalar's latest effort, a third, was easily his best in a modest sequence, and a strong speed figure of 80 hints at more ability than his recent form shows; still without a win in his last six starts, proving that in this company is the task 19 days on.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Penelope Valentine silks
Penelope Valentine
Age 4 · 9-6
-19326
72
62
72OR
4
9-6
14/1 17/2 12/1
Penelope Valentine boasts a win in her recent form as well as a second and a third, proof she has the class to figure in this company; her latest start, a modest sixth after 28 days, is the one query.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kodi Fire silks
Kodi Fire
Age 4 · 9-2
50-584
68
57
68OR
4
9-2
16/1 12/1 10/1
Kodi Fire's official mark of 68 undersells him on our figures, hinting at untapped ability, though a modest sequence of finishes - nothing better than fourth in his last five starts - leaves that to prove; 25 days have elapsed since he last ran.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Dappled Light silks
Dappled Light
Age 6 · 8-12
8-7112
64
78
64OR
6
8-12
4/1 11/4 7/2
Dappled Light boasts two wins and a second in his last three starts, form that reads well, yet a modest speed figure of 55 leaves him bottom of this field on our figures; that gap between the form book and the clock is the concern here.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rating silks
Rating
Age 5 · 8-11
323155
63
64
63OR
5
8-11
11/1 8/1 10/1
Rating's last two starts have both been fifths, a downturn from the notably better form she showed before that - a win and three places in the four starts before that; on our figures she still ranks toward the bottom of this field, and reversing that recent decline is the ask.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Stenmark 4/5 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.38 10/11 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.10 10/11 Coral
2 Echalar 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365
3 Penelope Valentine 14/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Kodi Fire 16/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Dappled Light 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
6 Rating 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Stenmark

Speculative

Stenmark owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Gihan Arnolda Rossa Ryan
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dappled Light

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Adrian Wintle
✓ Value Signal

Penelope Valentine

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · James Owen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Stenmark
57.8 4/5
2 5. Dappled Light
54.1 4/1
3 2. Echalar
48.4 13/2
4 6. Rating
46.7 11/1
5 3. Penelope Valentine
44.7 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Stenmark
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-9
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 8-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 8-11
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Stenmark
Confidence: Medium

Stenmark (SR 83, 4/5) is the clear class standout in this field — 5 SR points clear of the next-best Dappled Light (SR 78) and comfortably ahead of the rest. The 21% market shortening is a strong confidence signal: money has moved meaningfully into this horse, not away from it. Carrying 9-9 is not punitive for a horse of this SR in a Class 5 field, and Rossa Ryan's 16% strike rate over 1,355 rides adds professional polish to the booking. The form string -55382 shows inconsistency, but a Class 5 mark = run suggests connections are pitching this correctly, and the market endorsement overrides the patchy recent outings. Each-way alternative: Dappled Light. Main danger: Dappled Light — Dappled Light (SR 78, 4/1) has Course:W1P1 at Chepstow, DistFit+ and GoingFit+ on today's good-to-firm, and a recent 7-1-1-2 form sequence showing genuine in-form momentum — the class rise (↑1) and +5 mark are the only concerns, but the course specialism and weight (8-12, 11lb less than Stenmark on raw weight at a lower SR differential) make it a genuine each-way threat.

Shortlist Stenmark, Dappled Light
Each-way: Dappled Light Danger: Dappled Light

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f14y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade