Hamilton Park Centenary Year Handicap Stakes · 1m5f16y
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Alnayef | 11/10 open 2.38 | — | 11/10 open 2.38 | 11/10 open 2.38 | 11/10 open 2.38 | 10/11 open 2.38 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 2 Time Turner | 10/3 open 4.00 | — | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 Bruce Banner | 15/2 open 4.50 | — | 15/2 open 4.33 | 15/2 open 4.33 | 8/1 open 4.33 | 8/1 open 4.33 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 4 Aighear | 6/1 open 8.00 | — | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 Coral |
| 5 Desert Quest | 7/1 open 10.00 | — | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alnayef owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alnayef (SR 70, 11/10) is the clear class leader in this modest Class 6 field and carries the highest SR by a significant margin — 5 points clear of Time Turner and 16 clear of the rest. The market has backed that view emphatically, shortening 13% to favouritism, and trainer Jim Goldie (15% strike rate, 502 runners) has flagged this as his yard's #1 runner with stable-mate Aighear on a lesser jockey booking and lower SR. Course:W1P2 at Hamilton is a concrete positive — this horse has form on this track — and DistFit:+ confirms the 1m5f trip is well within its proven range. The mark is 6lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+6) which is a mild concern, but the overall SR superiority and market confidence outweigh that flag in a field of just five at this level. Each-way alternative: Time Turner. Main danger: Time Turner — Time Turner (SR 65, 10/3) is 2lb lighter than Alnayef and trainer Edward Bethell runs at 15% with Connor Beasley booked at 14% — it has genuine form credentials at this level and the weight advantage could prove meaningful over 1m5f if Alnayef's higher mark catches up with it.