Leopardstown 17:24 RESULTED
16 Jul 2026

Today Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Apprentice Handicap

Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Apprentice Handicap · 7f50y

Official Result

Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ardadslosttheplot (IRE) Rebecca Parsons · David Marnane
    7/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 5/2F
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 29 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Frosted Sky silks
Frosted Sky Non-Runner
Age 3 · 8-12
886
61
61OR
3
8-12
SP
1
Faoladh silks
Faoladh
Age 4 · 10-1
463169
71
66
71OR
4
10-1
8/1 13/2 7/1
Faoladh won three starts back and has raced over today's distance before, returning quickly here just eight days after his latest run; rated third of 14 with a strong speed figure, the drawback is a yard managing only 1/33 in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Ardeur silks
Ardeur
Age 4 · 9-10
980-00
66
34
66OR
4
9-10
28/1 18/1 28/1
Ardeur is winless in her last five starts, three of them unplaced, and a 28-day gap since her latest run raises a fitness question. She does have experience over today's trip, which keeps her competitive without standing out from this field.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

3
Comfort Line silks
Comfort Line
Age 9 · 9-7
043125
63
60
63OR
9
9-7
13/2 9/1 5/1
Comfort Line won three starts back and has raced over today's distance before, following that win with a solid second next time out; he faded to a below-par fifth last time out, and the question is whether that was a blip or a genuine downturn.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
God Knows silks
God Knows
Age 7 · 9-7
22-090
63
52
63OR
7
9-7
16/1 12/1 16/1
God Knows tops our figures by a clear margin, form built on two runner-up efforts earlier in her recent sequence; the concern is a 62-day layoff since her latest run and a string of below-par efforts in between that leave her placing here slightly open to question.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Rodeeve silks
Rodeeve
Age 5 · 9-6
-84510
62
57
62OR
5
9-6
11/1 11/1 10/1
Rodeeve won two starts back and has raced over today's distance before, but followed that form with an unplaced effort last time out; a quick 15-day turnaround keeps her ticking over, leaving the task of proving that win wasn't a one-off.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ardadslosttheplot silks
Ardadslosttheplot
Age 3 · 9-5
6350-3
68
69
68OR
3
9-5
6/1 7/1 11/2
Ardadslosttheplot is yet to score in her last five starts but has been placed twice in that run, third again last time out, and a 12-day turnaround keeps her ticking over; the question is whether she has the class edge to go one better here.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Dynamic Force silks
Dynamic Force
Age 7 · 9-3
-04745
59
51
59OR
7
9-3
10/1 7/1 10/1
Dynamic Force has been largely consistent without a win, mostly in the first seven bar one unplaced effort, and a 13-day turnaround keeps him ticking over; the drawback is a yard well below form at just 1/22 in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Bear Right silks
Bear Right
Age 3 · 9-1
-U7343
64
69
64OR
3
9-1
11/4 32/17 11/4
Bear Right has strung together three solid efforts, placed twice and no worse than fourth, form that points to a filly finding her feet at the right time; the concern is a yard well below its recent strike-rate, just 1/28 in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Prime Sign silks
Prime Sign
Age 5 · 8-13
05-009
55
41
55OR
5
8-13
16/1 12/1 16/1
Prime Sign has managed only one finish inside the top half of her last five starts, down the field again in ninth last time out, so the recent record is hard to overlook; a quick five-day turnaround is about the only thing working in her favour here.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Cordouan silks
Cordouan
Age 8 · 8-11
088-09
53
29
53OR
8
8-11
33/1 22/1 33/1
Cordouan's finishing positions read modestly, no better than eighth in his last five starts, but the form conceals a strong speed figure that hints at more to come; a 66-day absence since his latest run is the obvious fitness concern.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

12
Mehmar silks
Mehmar
Age 6 · 8-10
660857
52
50
52OR
6
8-10
10/1 12/1 9/1
Mehmar's finishing positions have been modest, no better than fifth in his last six starts, yet a notably strong speed figure suggests more untapped ability than the bare results show; question marks remain over whether that will translate into a leading role here.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Notforalongtime silks
Notforalongtime
Age 9 · 8-9
833858
51
40
51OR
9
8-9
18/1 18/1 16/1
Notforalongtime has been well held in three of his last six starts, eighth again last time out, leaving plenty to find on the bare results; a pair of thirds earlier is the one genuine positive, though he ranks near the bottom on these figures.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Smaoineamh Sile silks
Smaoineamh Sile
Age 8 · 8-7
08-00U
48
29
48OR
8
8-7
25/1 33/1 22/1
Smaoineamh Sile's recent form reads unseated, unplaced three times and a best of eighth, with nothing to suggest a leading role in this field; she sits bottom of the fourteen runners on these figures, though a prompt reappearance at least keeps her ticking over.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

15
Dawn Flame silks
Dawn Flame
Age 3 · 8-7
490083
54
54
54OR
3
8-7
17/2 6/1 8/1
Dawn Flame found a definite lift last time out, coming home third after a mixed run of finishes in his last six starts; the concern is a modest underlying speed figure that leaves him needing that step forward repeated rather than a one-off.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Frosted Sky
1 Faoladh 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 8/1 Bet365
2 Ardeur 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
3 Comfort Line 13/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 Bet365
4 God Knows 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Rodeeve 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
6 Ardadslosttheplot 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 Bet365
7 Dynamic Force 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 Coral
8 Bear Right 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 Bet365
9 Prime Sign 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
11 Cordouan 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Mehmar 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
13 Notforalongtime 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365
14 Smaoineamh Sile 25/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 Bet365
15 Dawn Flame 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bear Right

Speculative

Bear Right owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Mrs John Harrington Keithen Kennedy
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ardadslosttheplot

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · David Marnane
✓ Value Signal

Ardeur

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Patrick J Flynn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Bear Right
50.6 11/4
2 6. Ardadslosttheplot
49.4 6/1
3 1. Faoladh
48.1 8/1
4 15. Dawn Flame
45.8 17/2
5 7. Dynamic Force
45.6 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ardadslosttheplot
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-1
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 9-7
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 3 · 8-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 8-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 5 · 8-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 9 · 8-9
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ardadslosttheplot
Confidence: Medium

Ardadslosttheplot (SR 69, 6/1) shares the highest SR in the field alongside Bear Right but carries a significantly lighter weight at 9-5 versus Bear Right's 9-1 — a meaningful edge in a competitive apprentice handicap. The market has shortened 23% since opening, signalling genuine confidence from informed money, while GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground well. The 3-year-old profile is the most progressive in the field and form figure '3' on most recent start at this class level, with the market telling a clear bullish story. Jockey Rebecca Parsons is a 7lb claimer which reduces the effective weight further, a real tactical advantage in this apprentice context. Each-way alternative: Comfort Line. Main danger: Faoladh — Faoladh (SR 66, 8/1) is the most recent runner in the field at just 8 days since last run, carries a tongue-tie, and MarkMv:+4 is modest — the form string includes a '6' but also a '1', and Andrew Slattery's yard at 10% strike rate with a market not drifting suggests quiet confidence.

Shortlist Ardadslosttheplot, Faoladh, Comfort Line
Each-way: Comfort Line Danger: Faoladh

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f50y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting