www.swordsecurity.com Nursery Handicap · 0m7f0y
SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Darlene | 13/2 | 7/1 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 13/2 | 7/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Don't Go Mad | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 Estado De La Luna | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 Gabby Hayes | 9/1 | 6/1 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 | 15/2 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Knockraha Pa | 18/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Margot Mae | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 Melchizedek | 6/1 | 7/1 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Miss Cornelia | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Silk Twist | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Wecouldavehaditall | 13/8 | 7/4 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 7/4 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Estado De La Luna owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Wecouldavehaditall leads the field on SR at 69, confirmed by a ★★★☆☆ AI probability rating — the only horse to receive three stars. At 13/8 the market is clearly behind this selection, and while DistFit:- is a concern at 7f, the same flag applies to the majority of the field. The 9-10 weight is manageable in this company, and trainer Daniel McLoughlin's recent form string of 90736 shows the horse has been knocking on the door without winning. Miss Cornelia (SR 65, 3/1) is the obvious danger but carries the same weight and has a 58-day absence to overcome, which is a meaningful fitness question on a horse that has only shown modest form. Each-way alternative: Melchizedek. Main danger: Miss Cornelia — Miss Cornelia (SR 65, 3/1) is actually the market's second choice and the shortest priced of those with a listed price behind the favourite — her SR edges Wecouldavehaditall and she carries the same 9-9, but 58 days off the track is a genuine fitness concern that justifies siding against her.