AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f36y
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ambience | 9/4 open 2.63 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 17/10 open 2.50 | 17/10 open 2.50 | 5/2 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.63 | 5/2 William Hill |
| 2 Cartography | 18/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 10/1 open 23.00 | 10/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Constella | 9/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Kissamee | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Show Me Glory | evn open 2.38 | 1/1 open 2.50 | 9/10 open 2.38 | 9/10 open 2.38 | evn open 2.38 | evn open 2.38 | evn Bet365 |
| 6 State of America | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 15/1 open 15.00 | 15/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Unfurled | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ambience owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Show Me Glory (SR:85, 6/4) is the market favourite and backed by Andrew Balding (18% strike rate) and Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate) — the strongest jockey-trainer pairing in this field by win percentage. Despite the modest SR, this is a maiden where class ratings across the whole field are largely unproven, and the SR of 85 may underrepresent a filly whose form of 3-2 (reading right-to-left: last ran 2nd, ran 3rd before that) shows consistent placing. The market has held firm at 6/4 with no drift recorded, reflecting stable confidence. Against a field of largely once-raced or debutante fillies on an AW surface that is new to most, the experience of two consistent runs is an asset, and Balding/Murphy at these prices in a Class 3 maiden deserve respect. Each-way alternative: Unfurled. Main danger: Ambience — Ambience holds the highest proven SR (157) in the field and her most recent run was a 2nd, showing she can place at this level, though the 13% drift is a real concern.