Twistthenightaway won two starts back and again three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before, while 170 lb is a big burden. The risk is a 192-day absence after being pulled up last time out.
Form last 65611P-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR110RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Finn Lough arrives with a second two starts back and has run over today's trip and on the going, while our top-rated figure of 117 sits well above his official 110 despite carrying 168 lb. The main risk is a 227-day absence and a fall last time out.
Form last 67572F-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
76SR117RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Gasmani booked a fourth last time out, 20 days ago, and a second three starts back sits alongside a win four starts back, while he has run over today's trip and going before. He carries 168 lb off an official 110, which is the one reservation, but our rating of 114 backs the profile.
Form last 6912-84
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR114RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Liege Ardent signed off with a second last time out after a fall two starts back, though he returns from 110 days off and is yet to win in recent form, carrying 166 lb.
Form last 666-0F2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Soldier For Glory has finished third in each of his last two starts, but he's yet to win in recent form, was unseated three runs back and returns after 225 days off. Our figures rank him ninth of 13, and 165 lb is a hefty burden to carry.
Form last 6U/33-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR98RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Daly Boy's profile is solid: he has run over today's trip and going before, and his record of a second five starts back and two fifths in his last two outings keeps him in the mix, with our rating of 113 ranking him third of 13. The main risk is a 210-day absence, plus 164 lb on his back.
Form last 625P55-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR113RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bataillon has been consistent, finishing third last time out, a fourth two starts back and a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 189-day absence and 162 lb on his back temper enthusiasm, and our rating of 107 only ranks him sixth of 13.
Form last 641243-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR107RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fifth last time out, after a fourth two starts back, a third three starts back and a win four starts back, The Big Breac has been slipping down the order, and he returns after 273 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 106 ranks him seventh of 13, but 159 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6/1345-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR106RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five, Cahier's Den has still hit the frame twice, with a second two starts back and a third three starts back, though he was only sixth last time out and returns after 164 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 108 sits above his official 100, but 158 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 66432-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR108RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Runner-up last time out and consistent in recent starts, Babatunde has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last five and returns after a 607-day absence. Our rating of 103 sits eighth of 13, while 153 lb is a hefty burden off an official 95.
Form last 664352/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR103RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pappariche is lightly raced and still unexposed, with a fifth last time out and a fourth two starts back suggesting she is moving the right way after two eighths. Yet to win in her last four, she returns just 16 days after her latest run, carrying 147 lb off an official mark of 89.
Form last 6/88-45
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
My Bobby's Lass is hard to fancy, having finished a fourth last time out and a sixth, then another sixth, in her two runs before that, with her one win coming four starts back. She does have a 26-day break to her advantage and our rating of 92 sits above her official 86, but she is only tenth of 13 on our figures.
Form last 6416-64
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR92RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
On The Platform has finished sixth, fifth and fifth in his last three, after being pulled up four starts back, so he's hard to fancy off 142 lb and a 52-day break. His win came five starts back, though, and he has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 61P/556
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR88RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Twistthenightaway owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Liege Ardent
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Richard Hobson✓ Value Signal
Finn Lough
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Liege Ardent (SR:95, 11/2) is the only runner in the field showing market confidence — a 6% inward move in a race where most runners are drifting significantly. At age 5 this is the youngest, most likely still-improving horse in the field, carrying a manageable 11-12 with James Bowen aboard (20% career SR). The tongue-tie application suggests connections are actively working to unlock more from this horse. Critically, both distance and going are unproven (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) rather than negative, meaning there is no established evidence against this trip or ground, whereas the favourite Twistthenightaway carries an explicit GoingFit:- flag on today's good-to-soft ground — a meaningful concern — alongside a 10% market drift, a MarkMv:+6 rise and a 192-day absence finishing with a pull-up (P) last time.
Each-way alternative: Bataillon.
Main danger: Twistthenightaway — Dan and Harry Skelton (22%/27% career strike rates) are elite jumps connections and the horse holds course form (W1P1) which counts for something at a specialist track like Bangor, even if the GoingFit:- and market drift are real negatives.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 66-0F2 — the F (fell) and 0 (last/tailed off) are worrying recent entries, with only one placing (2nd) to show; no win to speak of in this sequence.
Both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), meaning today's good-to-soft trip is a genuine unknown rather than a positive — connections are effectively experimenting at race odds.
Trainer Richard Hobson has a small operation (93 runners rated) at 16% SR; limited ammunition to draw on when assessing if this horse genuinely fits today's conditions.
Cahier's Den (in19%) and Babatunde (in19%) show stronger market support inward moves than Liege Ardent's 6%, suggesting shrewder money may be elsewhere in the field.
ShortlistLiege Ardent, Bataillon, Cahier's Den, Twistthenightaway