Bladey Lady won last time out and has three wins in her last six starts, though an eighth two starts back shows she can flop, and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 135 lb from draw 2 after 27 days off, she sits fifth of eight on our rating.
Form last 6471181
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR71RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
By Jove Grace arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out, with a second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 82 puts her top of the eight, and 36 days off is the only slight query, while 134 lb is a notable burden.
Form last 62521
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR82RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bai Tong has run over today's trip and on this going, and her second three starts back shows she can go close, while 39 days off should have her fresh. Two sevenths since are the concern, and she's yet to win in her last four starts, though our rating of 72 ranks her third of eight from stall 1.
Form last 65277
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Water Angel went close with a second last time out after a fourth and a fifth, though he is yet to win in his last three starts and returns after 46 days off. He has run over today's trip and runs from stall 4, but our rating of 65 ranks him sixth of eight.
Form last 6542
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR65RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Or Another comes here in decent heart after a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before, while our rating of 71 ranks him fourth of eight. The risk is consistency, as a ninth two starts back sits among a winless run in his last six.
Form last 6473492
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Cheeky Chesca has a win three starts back and two thirds before that, and she has run over today's trip, while our rating of 74 ranks her second of eight. The main risk is a sixth and then an unplaced run in her last two outings, so she must bounce back from 24 days off.
Form last 6933160
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR74RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Profitability is winless in her last four, unplaced last time and a fifth four starts back, and she returns after 55 days off, so she is hard to fancy. A third two starts back and experience of today's trip are in her favour, and she carries 122 lb from draw 6.
Form last 65630
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR58RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lord Bishop is hard to fancy, having finished eighth last time out, a ninth two starts back and unplaced three runs ago, so he is winless in recent starts. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and is back after 15 days, but our rating ranks him last of eight.
Form last 6098
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
29SR54RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
By Jove Grace owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Richard & Peter FaheyEthan Tindall(5)
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bladey Lady
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/4 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Lord Bishop
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Brian Ellison◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Bladey Lady (SR 80, 7/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has steamed in 23% in the market — the strongest positive money move here. Her form string 471181 shows a sequence of consistent improvement culminating in a win, and she holds a course record of W1P1 at Catterick, a specialist sprint track where familiarity matters. She carries 9-9, a pound more than By Jove Grace, but her SR advantage and the market confidence outweigh that marginal weight difference. The ClassMv:↑1 is a flag, as is the +7 mark rise, but the heavy market support suggests connections are confident she can handle the step up.
Each-way alternative: By Jove Grace.
Main danger: By Jove Grace — By Jove Grace (SR 81, 15/8) is the joint-highest rated runner, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries only 9-8 and has a form string of 2521 showing progressive form into a recent win — she is priced tighter than Bladey Lady for good reason and has every chance of reversing the market order.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
By Jove Grace holds a higher SR (81 vs 80) and is a pound lighter at 9-8, making her the superior rated runner on adjusted weight-for-age terms at virtually the same price (15/8 vs 7/4).
Bladey Lady faces a +7 official mark rise combined with a ClassMv:↑1 step up — asking a 2yo to absorb both simultaneously is a significant double ask, especially off only 27 days rest.
Tim Easterby's 11% strike rate is modest, and notably he also saddles stablemate Cheeky Chesca (#6, Course:W1P2) — with two runners, tactical ride instructions could complicate David Allan's race pla…
The 23% market move looks impressive in isolation, but By Jove Grace from the Fahey yard at 15/8 represents almost identical market confidence at a fractionally longer price, meaning the 'smart money…
ShortlistBladey Lady, By Jove Grace, Cheeky Chesca