Harry The Rogue is our top-rated runner despite being winless in his last six, with two ninth-place finishes most recently, and he's fresh from a 14-day break. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 73 clear of the field at the top of the list makes him the one to beat from draw 3, though 142 lb is a stiff burden.
Form last 6900099
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR73RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Sant Alessio comes here fresh from a fourth last time out 22 days ago, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 68 ranks him second of ten, above his official 64. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last five starts, with a seventh and an eighth in that run.
Form last 6-07484
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out, and a fourth two starts back, show Symphony of Joy is running into some form, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 67 ranks him fourth of ten, but the main risk is a 58-day break and a yard 0/21 lately.
Form last 6706343
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR67RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dappled Light has run over today's trip and going and, at 68 on our rating, ranks third of ten, with a second and a second four and five starts back showing he can get involved. The risk is his form tailing off lately, a ninth last time out following a seventh, off 139 lb from stall six.
Form last 6122479
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Bajan Bandit arrives in cracking nick, second last time out and third two starts back, with a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Back in just seven days and carrying 138 lb from draw 2, he looks a solid sort, though our rating of 66 has him only fifth of ten.
Form last 6320132
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten in each of his last six starts, with a ninth last time out and a seventh and eighth before that, he is winless in recent form, though he has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 11 days. Our rating of 63 sits three pounds above his official 60, but 133 lb from draw 9 is a stiff ask.
Form last 6790879
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR63RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Yet to win in his last five, Eighty Eight posted back-to-back thirds before a ninth last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, but a 228-day absence and 129 lb from stall eight leave questions; our rating of 63 ranks him seventh of ten.
Form last 608-339
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR63RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Venturing is winless in his last five, with a fourth last time out, a seventh two starts back and an eighth three starts back, and he returns after 36 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but ranked ninth of ten on our figures, he is hard to fancy from stall 1 off 128 lb.
Form last 6-44874
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR56RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bennyworth is hard to fancy, yet to win in his last six and beaten into eighth last time out, 78 days ago, with a fourth two starts back his best recent finish. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating ranks him eighth of ten.
Form last 6684848
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR57RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Thomas Tallis is hard to fancy, unplaced last time and a ninth two starts back, with a third three starts back his only top-three finish in recent runs. He has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him last of ten.
Form last 60-7390
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR44RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Eighty Eight owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8James OwenOliver Hoodless(3)
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bajan Bandit
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Patrick Morris✓ Value Signal
Thomas Tallis
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · John Mackie◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sant Alessio (SR:63, 3/1) is the joint SR-leader in a low-grade Class 6 field and carries the significant backing of a 37% market move in — the strongest steaming signal in the race by a wide margin. Despite a GoingFit:- on AW good, the course record of W1P2 at Wolverhampton is a tangible specialist edge, and the mark has dropped 4lb since last win (MarkMv:-4) while stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1), both favourable handicap conditions. Jockey Chloe Lyons hits at 14% from only 43 rides — above average for an apprentice — and the 37% market move suggests yard confidence that overrides the ground concern in a field of limited SR depth.
Each-way alternative: Bajan Bandit.
Main danger: Eighty Eight — Eighty Eight carries the top SR alongside Sant Alessio at 62, has the lightest competitive weight at 9-3 giving it a 12lb pull on Sant Alessio, and trainer James Owen's 18% career strike rate suggests a horse returned after 228 days could be primed — though the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- remain real flags.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Sant Alessio's last 5 runs show form figures of -07484 — no win in that sequence and finishing 4th or worse in four of those five, suggesting the drop in mark has not yet unlocked a return to winning…
Bajan Bandit (SR:65) is the SR-leader in the field, sits at a shorter effective price on handicap form, and has run just 7 days ago showing freshness, while Sant Alessio's GoingFit:- on AW good is a…
Eighty Eight (SR:62, 5/2 market leader) is trained by James Owen at 18% strike rate with an apprentice claimer taking 3lb off — a strong combination that the market rates above Sant Alessio despite t…
Jockey Chloe Lyons has only 43 recorded rides to establish her 14% strike rate — a very small sample size — and the course record of W1P2 was achieved over an unspecified number of visits, not guaran…