Mister Sox arrives fit after 10 days off, third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is 139 lb from draw 10, which is a hefty burden to carry.
Form last 6553613
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR76RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gentle George tops our ranking with an 82 and a speed figure of 80, and he has run over today's trip and going, returning after 19 days off; the risk is a winless run of six, last seen finishing seventh, from 138 lb off an official 74.
Form last 6009907
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Havana Rum showed his form with a fourth last time out, and another fourth two starts back, and he returns fresh enough after 15 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 80 backs the pick, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
Form last 6382844
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR80RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fresh after just 11 days, The Resdev Scholar has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 79 ranks him third of 15, though he's winless in his last six and comes here off an eighth and a seventh.
Form last 6302478
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Decem Starr was second last time out and has run over today's trip, but he's winless in his last five and a fourth four starts back is his next best finish. A 31-day break and a yard struggling at 1/20 temper enthusiasm, while 136 lb from stall 12 asks plenty.
Form last 6-44082
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR69RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Swift Salian has run over today's trip and going and comes back after 22 days, but he's winless in his last six, with a fifth and a fourth before an unplaced run last time. Our rating of 72 sits a few pounds above his official 69, though 135 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6208450
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Wobwobwob was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, though he is yet to win in his last six starts and returns just four days later. Our rating of 75 ranks him fifth of 15, a touch above his official mark of 68, carrying 134 lb from stall 14.
Form last 6509853
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR75RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Black Storm has gone eighth and ninth in his last two starts, though he won four starts back and was third before that, and he's fresh enough after 15 days. He has run over today's trip and going, but 133 lb from draw 5 and a middling rating of 71 make him a mid-pack proposition.
Form last 6331598
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR71RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
The Gay Blade has been beaten in five of his last six, with a fourth last time out the best of them since a win six starts back, and a seventh and an eighth before that. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after ten days, but 133 lb from stall one and a 13th-of-15 ranking make him hard to fancy.
Form last 6150874
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR67RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Runner-up last time out and a winner two starts back, this gelding is in solid recent form and back quickly after just ten days, having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb from stall four, he's rated 71 by us, only eighth of 15, which suggests he may need to improve again.
Form last 6334412
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Evocative Spark has finished sixth, fifth, ninth, seventh and fourth since a win six starts back, so the trend is hard to like, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 27 days. Carrying 131 lb from stall eight, he is ranked 14 of 15 on our figures.
Form last 6147956
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Highfield Viking was unplaced last time out and has only one win in his last six starts, a victory two starts back, which makes him hard to fancy, ranked 11th of 15 on our figures. On the plus side, he is back quickly after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6908310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Another Investment is winless in his last six, with back-to-back ninth-place finishes and a second six starts back the best of that run, though he's only ten days since his last outing and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 71 sits above his official 65, but carrying 131 lb from stall 13 leaves plenty to prove.
Form last 6265099
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Surprised is winless in her last six, with unplaced efforts on her last two outings and a seventh three starts back, so she is hard to fancy at 127 lb from stall 15. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and on the going, and a third five starts back shows some ability.
Form last 6638700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR67RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Penny Ghent has been unplaced in her last two starts and won six starts back, so she's hard to fancy at the foot of our ratings (15th of 15). On the plus side, she's back quickly after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 6138300
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR53RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Vince Le Prince owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Tim EasterbyDavid Allan
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Havana Rum
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey✓ Value Signal
Surprised
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Bryan Smart◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Vince Le Prince (SR 76, 4/1) is the top-rated horse in the field and carries a favourable 9-6 — lighter than stablemate Mister Sox (9-13) and Havana Rum (9-11). GoingFit:+ confirms he handles soft ground, which is the key filter in today's conditions, and Course:W4P13 at Catterick makes him a genuine course specialist. The market has backed him in 10% since opening, David Allan takes the ride (13% career strike rate from 2,256 runners), and dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) brings him into a race he should dominate on SR. The +3 mark rise is a minor negative but is offset by the class drop and weight advantage.
Each-way alternative: Evocative Spark.
Main danger: Havana Rum — Havana Rum carries the second-highest SR (73) at 9/2 with a 12% market move in and a -5lb mark drop, and while GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns, the Fahey yard's backing and the eased mark mean he cannot be fully dismissed if the soft ground suits better than his record suggests.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG:tb (tongue-tie and blinkers) suggests a horse that needs strong headgear to perform — equipment dependency can mask underlying issues and is not a hallmark of a straightforward, reliable winner.
Form:334412 shows only one win in last six starts and two thirds — not the profile of a horse primed to dominate at 4/1 in a competitive 15-runner handicap, even with a class drop.
Stablemate Mister Sox (Stable:1) creates a potential stable-split scenario — with two runners from Tim Easterby, there is a genuine question over which horse the yard's primary focus is on today, des…
Evocative Spark (Course:W4P5) matches Vince Le Prince's course record of W4 wins at Catterick but carries 1lb less, is market-supported (in10%), and at 15/2 represents a credible course specialist th…
ShortlistVince Le Prince, Havana Rum, Evocative Spark, Mister Sox