Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rattlin Home owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
1/3Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
85%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sittin Ona Fortune
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White✓ Value Signal
Emral Bridge
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rattlin Home (SR:159, 4/9) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The SR of 159 is 6 points clear of the next-best horse in the field (Sittin Ona Fortune, SR:153) and sits comfortably in top-class territory on the 0-200 scale. Harry Skelton's booking (27% career strike rate, 1,720 runners) is the strongest jockey-trainer combination in the race — Dan Skelton at 22% with Harry up is a formidable pairing. The market has shortened 20% since opening, signalling professional confidence, and the horse stays in the same class (ClassMv:=) rather than being tested upward. The 248-day absence is the one note of caution, but Skelton routinely returns horses fresh and the market money is clearly not deterred.
Each-way alternative: Sittin Ona Fortune.
Main danger: Sittin Ona Fortune — Sittin Ona Fortune (SR:153, 6/1) is the only other horse in the field with a top-end SR and a win on the form string (Form:3/U1-), and Philip Hobbs & Johnson White at 18% strike rate gives the yard genuine placing power.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
248-day absence is a significant layoff for a 5-year-old with only 3 career runs (Form: 12-); limited race-fitness data to draw on for a first-time-back run.
Last run ended with a '-' (pulled up or fell), so returns from a likely problem run after 8+ months off — that unresolved form question is uninvestigated at 4/9.
Sittin Ona Fortune (SR:153, 6/1) also has a win on her card and is trained by Philip Hobbs & Johnson White (18% strike rate) — a live rival at a massive price differential who won't need to be perfec…
ShortlistRattlin Home, Sittin Ona Fortune, Back To Sea
Each-way: Sittin Ona FortuneDanger: Sittin Ona Fortune