Newcastle 15:01 RESULTED
Class 4 27 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Dogs Welcome At The Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Dogs Welcome At The Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier) · 2m0f190y

Official Result

Dogs Welcome At The Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner North Of Richmond (IRE) Kielan Woods · Alex Hales
    9/4
  2. 3/1
  3. 13/8F
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
North of Richmond silks
North of Richmond
Age 6 · 12-0
/134P-
114
115
111
6
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/2
North of Richmond makes appeal on his earlier efforts, a winner four starts back followed by a third and a fourth, and he has run over today's trip, while our rating ranks him third of six. The main risk is a pulled-up last time out and a 242-day absence, with 168 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Max of Stars silks
Max of Stars
Age 6 · 11-12
-442P4
112
99
112
6
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 4/1 8/1
Fourth last time out and only nine days ago, Max of Stars keeps busy and has run over today's trip and going, while a second three starts back shows she can get close. Yet to win in her last five, and 166 lb is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Jentobello silks
Jentobello FAV
Age 6 · 11-10
23-421
110
111
110
6
11-10
★★★★☆
—
2/1 31/19 32/17
Jentobello won last time out and has finished in the first four in each of his last five starts, with 23 days since that win and experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 164 lb is the main risk, and our rating of 110 ranks him fourth of six.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Pyramid Place silks
Pyramid Place
Age 9 · 11-6
58P-6P
106
89
122
9
11-6
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 10/1 18/1
Our top-rated runner at 122 despite a patchy book, Pyramid Place has run over today's trip and going before and, though officially rated only 106, he tops our ratings by a clear margin. A 121-day break and two pulled-up efforts in his last three runs are the concern, though.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Roarin' Success silks
Roarin' Success
Age 6 · 11-3
511323
103
112
99
6
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 7/2 9/4
Third last time out and a winner four starts back, Roarin' Success has sound recent form and has run over today's trip and going, but she carries 157 lb off an official mark of 103. Our figures rank her fifth of six, so she looks hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Hunters Spring silks
Hunters Spring
Age 5 · 11-1
43U-P3
101
92
99
5
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 9/2 14/1
Without a win in her last five, Hunters Spring is hard to fancy, with a pulled up and an unseated in the last three starts raising doubts over reliability, and she carries 155 lb. On the plus side, she was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank her sixth of six.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 North of Richmond 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 5/2 Bet365
2 Max of Stars 8/1 open 5.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.00 9/1 open 5.00 9/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.50 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Jentobello 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 15/8 2/1 open 2.88 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 Bet365
4 Pyramid Place 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Roarin' Success 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.50 11/4 Bet365
6 Hunters Spring 14/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 5.50 16/1 open 5.50 16/1 open 5.50 18/1 open 5.50 14/1 open 6.50 18/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jentobello

Live signal

Jentobello owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Iain Jardine Brian Hughes
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

North of Richmond

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Alex Hales
✓ Value Signal

Pyramid Place

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Tristan Davidson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Jentobello
66.5 2/1
2 1. North of Richmond
64.1 5/2
3 5. Roarin' Success
59.5 11/4
4 2. Max of Stars
55.1 8/1
5 6. Hunters Spring
49.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
North of Richmond
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-10
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 111 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾 —

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 11-3
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 11-1
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 9 · 11-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
North of Richmond
Confidence: Speculative

North of Richmond (SR:115, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries the top weight of 12-0, but the 36% market move in — the sharpest steam in this race by a considerable margin — suggests connections are confident despite that burden. At 9/4 the price implies roughly 29% base, nudged up to 31% given the strength of the market move and the fact the SR leads the field. The form string /134P- reads poorly on the surface but the 'P' pull-up and dash (absence) may be excused, and the booking of Kielan Woods (14% career SR) reinforces yard confidence. With DistFit:? and GoingFit:? there are unknowns, but the money coming in at 36% is the sharpest signal in a thin six-runner field and is hard to ignore. Each-way alternative: Roarin' Success. Main danger: Roarin' Success — Roarin' Success (SR:112, 11/4) has backed in 22% in the market, carries a favourable 11-3 versus North of Richmond's 12-0 — a 11lb pull — and the consistent form string 511323 shows a horse in good heart, with Donald McCain and Danny McMenamin (16% SR) a sharp combination; the lighter weight on good ground could prove decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string /134P- ends with a pull-up and a dash (absence); the horse has not completed a race in its last two starts, raising genuine fitness and soundness questions ahead of today.
  • Carries top weight of 12-0, conceding 11lb to Roarin' Success (SR:112, 11/4, in-form 511323) and 9lb to Jentobello (SR:111, 3/1, last-time-out winner) — a meaningful burden against rivals in sharp fo…
  • Trainer Alex Hales strikes at only 11% — below-average yard — and DistFit/GoingFit both unknown, meaning suitability to Newcastle's conditions today is entirely unconfirmed.
  • Jentobello is drifting out (31%) yet still shortens to 3/1 with a recent win (Days:23) and Brian Hughes aboard at 19% SR — the market may be backing North of Richmond at the expense of a horse that h…
Shortlist North of Richmond, Roarin' Success, Jentobello
Each-way: Roarin' Success Danger: Roarin' Success

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f190y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newcastle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade