Mythical Bird was fourth last time out, and she's a fifth two starts back and another fifth three starts back, so she's lacked a winning edge since scoring four starts back. She has run over today's trip and going and carries 136 lb from stall 5, but a 32-day break and a fifth-of-nine ranking from our rating of 78 keep her in the midfield.
Form last 6031554
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR78RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Roi de Coeur won last time out and was a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. The risk is a 40-day layoff, and he carries 135 lb from draw 8.
Form last 6512521
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR79RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Shady Bay is hard to fancy after a ninth last time out and a seventh two starts back, and she is winless in her last six, though a second three starts back and two thirds show she can get involved. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 76 ranks her seventh of nine.
Form last 6334279
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR77RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Ted Le Saux brings mixed recent form, with a win four starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 83 ranks him top of nine, but a 141-day absence is the main risk, especially with 134 lb to carry.
Form last 62-1365
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR83RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kaaranah arrives in good heart, second last time out, third two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 134 lb from draw 9 and rated 77 by us, only sixth of nine, he may find the top end a bit sharper.
Form last 6651132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR77RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hozam has been in the frame in three of his last four, with a second three starts back and another two starts back before a fourth last time, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating has him second of nine, but the yard's 0/21 in the last 14 days is the one concern.
Form last 63224
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Newfangled has been consistent without a win, with a third two starts back and fourth-placed efforts before that, and he has run over today's trip and going. Fresh after 29 days, he is our pick on overall profile despite a seventh last time out, with 131 lb from stall 1.
Form last 6646437
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR79RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Serious Look has finished seventh, then eighth, in his last two outings, and his only win came five starts back, so he is hard to fancy after 46 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and gets in from stall 2, but our rating of 73 ranks him last of nine.
Form last 6-15587
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Ciao Capo won three of his last six, but he was beaten into eighth last time out, 34 days ago, and the third two starts back is his only recent top-three finish outside those wins. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating ranks him eighth of nine.
Form last 6116138
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR75RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Roi de Coeur owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Marco BottiMarco Ghiani
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ted Le Saux
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Hozam
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Kevin & Lauren Frost◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ted Le Saux (SR:88, 7/2) carries the joint-lowest weight among the leading ability horses and is the standout on GoingFit:+ — proven on this going — allied to a massive 48% market steam that screams stable confidence after a 141-day absence. Oisin Murphy (21% career strike rate, 2826 runners) is a significant upgrade and Andrew Balding (18%, 3147 runners) is a top-tier handler who books big names when they mean business. The 141-day layoff is the obvious concern, but the Mkt:in48% move suggests connections are happy with the horse's work, and the 9-8 weight compares favourably to the market leader Roi de Coeur (SR:91, 9-9) whose mark has climbed 7lb above his last win and whose GoingFit is only moderate.
Each-way alternative: Newfangled.
Main danger: Roi de Coeur — Roi de Coeur (SR:91, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and his form string ending 1 shows recent winning form at the same class, and despite a 7lb mark rise and only moderate going fit, his SR edge and light-framed weight could prove decisive.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
141-day absence with no Course win (W0P1) at Wolverhampton — his sole course start ended in a place, not a win, so AW course form is unproven at the winning level.
Form reads 2-1365: the last three runs are a slide from a win to 3rd, 6th, 5th — a deteriorating trajectory that the layoff may not have arrested.
Kaaranah (W4P5) has vastly superior Wolverhampton course knowledge with 4 wins here and is fresher (22 days), posing a specific course-specialist threat at 6/1.
At 7/2 he is a significant drift from what the 48% steam implies as a true price — Roi de Coeur at 9/4 remains market leader, suggesting the move on Ted Le Saux has not dislodged the favourite's mark…
ShortlistTed Le Saux, Roi de Coeur, Newfangled, Kaaranah