Newcastle 14:31 RESULTED
Class 3 27 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m7f91y

Official Result

Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sleedagh (IRE) Derek Fox · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
    9/2
  2. 2/1J
  3. 100/30
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dunkerque silks
Dunkerque
Age 6 · 11-10
112123
132
125
131
6
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
SP 32/17 9/2
Dunkerque has finished in the first three in all six recent runs, including three wins in his last six starts, and was third last time out, then second, then a winner three starts back. He has run over today's trip and going before, and although 35 days off and 164 lb are small queries, our rating of 131 makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Kent de Thaix silks
Kent de Thaix FAV
Age 6 · 11-0
1P516-
122
118
124
6
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 7/2 32/17
Kent de Thaix won two starts back and five starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 124 ranks him second of five. The main risk is a 193-day absence, with a sixth last time out and 154 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Silver Hill silks
Silver Hill FAV
Age 6 · 10-13
51221-
121
128
124
6
10-13
★★★★☆
—
11/10 Evs 11/10
Silver Hill arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out, a second two starts back, another second three starts back, and a win four starts back, and he has run on today's going before. The big risk is a 223-day absence, and he carries 153 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Sleedagh silks
Sleedagh
Age 6 · 10-6
2339-5
114
110
115
6
10-6
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 15/2 8/1
Sleedagh is winless in his last five and was only fifth last time, after a ninth, so it is hard to fancy him. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and has three podium finishes in that spell, though he carries 146 lb.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Rocheval silks
Rocheval
Age 6 · 10-5
P644P-
113
116
122
6
10-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 4/1
Rocheval has run over today's trip and a fourth two starts back, then another fourth three starts back, show he can be competitive, while our rating of 122 ranks him fourth of five; the risk is a 193-day absence after being pulled up last time out, carrying 145 lb.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dunkerque 9/2 open 3.50 9/2 open 2.88 9/2 open 3.00 9/2 open 3.00 9/2 open 3.00 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 Bet365
2 Kent de Thaix 2/1 open 6.00 2/1 open 6.00 2/1 open 6.00 2/1 open 6.00 15/8 open 6.00 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 Bet365
3 Silver Hill 11/10 open 2.00 11/10 11/10 11/10 6/5 open 2.10 11/10 open 2.20 6/5 William Hill
4 Sleedagh 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
5 Rocheval 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 15.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 4/1 open 11.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Silver Hill

Live signal

Silver Hill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Jamie Snowden Gavin Sheehan
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kent de Thaix

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Dunkerque

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

SP · Jennie Candlish
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Silver Hill
71.2 11/10
2 2. Kent de Thaix
66.7 2/1
3 5. Rocheval
64.3 9/2
4 1. Dunkerque
60.5 SP
5 4. Sleedagh
56.0 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sleedagh
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 10-13
11/10
★★★★☆ SR 128 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 6 · 11-0
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 10-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 10-6
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sleedagh
Confidence: Speculative

Sleedagh (SR:110, 13/2) is the Russell/Scudamore yard's preferred runner today — it carries the more experienced jockey in Derek Fox (13% SR vs Wadge's 9%), has a cleaner recent form line (2339-5 vs Rocheval's P644P-), and crucially has been backed in dramatically from its opening price (Mkt:in39%), the strongest market move in the race. Silver Hill (SR:128, 6/4) is the headline SR but has drifted 17%, steps up a class (ClassMv:↑1), has been off 223 days, and is unproven at this trip (DistFit:?). Dunkerque (SR:125) has course form (W1P1) and good-going confirmation (GoingFit:+) but has been brutally opposed by the market (Mkt:out77%), a drift of that magnitude in a 5-runner field is a serious red flag. At 13/2 with the yard's strongest market move and a competent jockey booking, Sleedagh offers the best risk-adjusted case against a drifting favourite. Each-way alternative: Kent de Thaix. Main danger: Silver Hill — Silver Hill carries the highest SR in the field (128), has a proven trainer (Jamie Snowden 26%) and jockey (Sheehan 23%) combination, and if the 223-day break is forgiven on its first run back, it has the raw ability to win despite the class rise and market drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • SR:110 is the lowest in the field by 6+ points; Silver Hill (128) and Dunkerque (125) both carry materially superior ability ratings, suggesting a ceiling that may simply be too low to win.
  • Form line 2339-5 contains a pull-up or non-completion (the dash) and a 9th place finish — Sleedagh has not beaten anything of note in recent starts and has not won in this sequence.
  • Russell/Scudamore yard strike rate of 8% is the joint-weakest in the field; even with the market move, the stable produces winners at less than half the rate of Snowden (26%) or England (15%).
  • The 39% market move could be explained by yard money on the second stable runner Rocheval (in46%) cannibalising the same support pool — both Russell horses backed in simultaneously dilutes the signif…
Shortlist Sleedagh, Silver Hill, Kent de Thaix
Each-way: Kent de Thaix Danger: Silver Hill

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m7f91y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newcastle Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade