Nobotheratall has run over today's trip and on the going, and he's fresh from an 11-day turnaround, though a winner six starts back and a second five starts back sit behind three modest finishes. Our top-rated runner at 104 against an official 100, he looks the one to beat despite carrying 168 lb.
Form last 6124798
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
79SR104RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Our third-ranked runner of eleven, Alidam steps up with a third three starts back as his best recent finish, and he sits on an official mark of 94 with 162 lb. Yet to win in his last five, he is unplaced last time and returns after 142 days off, which is the main risk.
Form last 6P039-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR98RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bodygroove has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 98 puts him second of 11, well clear of his official 88 off 156 lb, with a fresh-enough 22 days since his last run. The risk is plain: he is yet to score in his last four, unplaced last time and a sixth three starts back his best effort.
Form last 6/P69-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
79SR98RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Fourth last time out and a third three starts back show Thesoldiersminit is running with credit, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last five starts. Carrying 155 lb off 87 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 89 ranks him only sixth of eleven.
Form last 6U735-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR89RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
National Question has been below his best lately, a fifth last time out and a sixth before that, and he returns after 136 days off carrying 154 lb off a mark of 86. Two wins in his last five and experience over today's trip and going count for something, but our rating of 80 ranks him ninth of eleven.
Form last 61516-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR80RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Our rating of 92 against an official 85 makes Ms Cindy Kate a leading danger, and she has run over today's trip and going before, with a fourth two starts back and another fourth three starts back. The risk is a 171-day absence after being pulled up last time out, with 153 lb to carry.
Form last 65844-P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR92RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Plane Sailing is winless in his last four, with a seventh last time out following two pulled-up efforts, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 34 days. Carrying 153 lb off an official mark of 85, he looks a midfield sort, ranked eighth of 11 on our rating.
Form last 68/PP-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR85RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Paragon has finished fourth in two of his last three outings and is winless in his last five, though a 140-day break raises fitness questions. He has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 89 sits above his official 86, but 153 lb is a big burden.
Form last 674-644
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR89RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cawthorne Cracker arrives in cracking recent form, second last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. However, he carries 152 lb off an official mark of 84, and our rating of 78 ranks him tenth of eleven, so he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6356212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR78RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bouboule has finished fifth in each of his last two starts and is back quickly after seven days, with experience of today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last five and carries 144 lb off 77. Our rating of 91 ranks him fifth of 11, so he's a midfield type.
Form last 6P-7655
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR91RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Zeezee is winless in her last five and was eighth last time out, now returning after 299 days off, so she's hard to fancy; two seconds earlier in that run of form and prior experience of today's trip and going are the positives, though 142 lb is a big ask.
Form last 652258-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR76RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cawthorne Cracker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Oliver Greenall & Josh GuerrieroCharlie Maggs
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Alidam
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Jennie Candlish✓ Value Signal
Zeezee
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Eloise Quayle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Alidam (SR:89, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), giving it the best ability-to-opportunity ratio on show. The market has steamered 39% — the most dramatic move in the race — signalling strong informed support despite 142 days off and a head-tongue strap added. Trainer Jennie Candlish (17% strike rate, 914 runners) is a competent operator and jockey Shanahan's 19% career rate is notably strong for a conditional. The distance and going are untried (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?), but the class drop and the SR edge over the field compensate for that uncertainty.
Each-way alternative: Cawthorne Cracker.
Main danger: Ms Cindy Kate — Ms Cindy Kate (SR:83, 5/1) has steamed 47% — the second-largest move in the race — carries a light 10-13 for Nicky Richards (17% strike rate) and Danny McMenamin (16%), a strong northern partnership, and if her DistFit:- concern is less damaging on good ground, she could outrun the price.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads P039-0 — Alidam has finished last or pulled up in 4 of last 5 starts, showing no win or place in recent outings despite presumably competitive conditions.
142 days off the track is a significant absence, and both distance and going are untried (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) — three unknowns stacking up simultaneously for a horse in poor form.
Head-tongue strap added for today suggests a breathing or control issue was identified, which is a flag rather than a straightforward positive, especially on return from a long layoff.
Ms Cindy Kate (SR:83, 5/1) has steamed in 47% — a bigger market move than Alidam's 39% — suggesting the market may actually favour another runner at identical odds, undermining the 'informed money' n…
ShortlistAlidam, Cawthorne Cracker, Ms Cindy Kate, National Question