John Smith's Racing Handicap · 7f192y
SR 83 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 85 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 David Of Athens | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 2 Cerulean Bay | 10/3 open 4.00 | — | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 William Hill |
| 3 Checkandchallenge | 8/1 open 13.00 | — | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Cosi Bello | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 5 Apiarist | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 6 Tuscan Hills | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 William Hill |
| 7 The Lost King | 7/2 open 8.50 | — | 10/3 open 8.50 | 10/3 open 8.50 | 3/1 open 8.50 | 3/1 open 8.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Khafiz | 50/1 open 21.00 | — | 66/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 Coral |
| 9 First Principle | 16/1 open 10.00 | — | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Mr Swivell | 8/1 open 11.00 | — | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Bragbor | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 New Image | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Gentle George | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cerulean Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cerulean Bay (SR 104, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries 10-2 — the same as David Of Athens but with a substantial SR advantage over every rival. The 10% market shortening signals genuine money-on-side confidence, and Daniel Tudhope (16% career strike rate, 756 runners) is the O'Meara yard's #1 booking, confirming this is the stable's primary runner over stablemate New Image. Course form of W0P2 at York shows familiarity with the track, and the recent 24-day turnaround on a live form line of 03-425 (last run a fifth, but in competitive company) rounds out a multi-signal case. GoingFit:- is the principal concern — good to firm is not confirmed ground for this horse — but the market has absorbed that and shortened anyway, suggesting connections are comfortable. Each-way alternative: The Lost King. Main danger: Cosi Bello — Cosi Bello (SR 100, 9/2) has DistFit:+ and a recent form line of 124-10 that shows a last-time-out win, and while it has drifted 10% and sits 4lb below Cerulean Bay on SR, a lighter weight of 9-8 and proven distance record on this trip could make it dangerous if Cerulean Bay finds the going too quick.