Newmarket 17:10 RESULTED
Class 3 11 Jul 2026

Last Saturday Debenhams Handicap

Debenhams Handicap · 7f

Official Result

Debenhams Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Secret History (IRE) William Buick · Ed Walker
    6/1
  2. 11/2
  3. Third Nikovo (GB)
    6/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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13:48–17:15 · 7 races

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17:25–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crimson Spirit silks
Crimson Spirit
Age 5 · 10-2
0-3014
90
88
90OR
5
10-2
9/2 FCST 4/1
Crimson Spirit was only fourth last time out. He won two starts back, with a third and an unplaced run deeper in the book. He has raced over today's trip and ground before and rates the pick on our figures, with a 36-day layoff the one query.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Exposure silks
Exposure
Age 4 · 9-13
4265-7
87
82
87OR
4
9-13
5/2
Exposure is winless in his last five starts, though a second four runs back shows some ability, and he has already run over today's trip, most recently 22 days ago. He races from draw 11; a below-par seventh last time is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Pinatubo's Legacy silks
Pinatubo's Legacy
Age 4 · 9-12
1-3
86
76
86OR
4
9-12
20/1 8/1 20/1
Pinatubo's Legacy was third last time out, having won two starts back. A lengthy 175-day absence since is the major concern for a colt near the bottom of this field on our figures, though he does have form over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sword silks
Sword
Age 5 · 9-11
820-83
85
78
85OR
5
9-11
18/1 10/1 18/1
Sword is winless in his last five starts, though he improved to third last time out after finishing well beaten twice previously. He has raced over today's trip and ground before, with his latest run just 29 days ago rounding off a mixed formline.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nikovo silks
Nikovo
Age 7 · 9-11
608543
85
76
85OR
7
9-11
11/2 8/1 9/2
Nikovo ran creditably when third just 14 days ago and ranks second in the field on our figures. He has raced over today's trip and ground before, though he is yet to win in his last six starts and needs to go one better.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Leadman silks
Leadman
Age 6 · 9-10
862061
84
85
84OR
6
9-10
17/2 5/1 17/2
Leadman won last time out and also has a runner-up effort in his last six starts. He has raced over today's trip and ground before and rates fourth on our figures; backing that up again just 21 days later is the query.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Righthere Rightnow silks
Righthere Rightnow
Age 4 · 9-7
-44003
81
80
81OR
4
9-7
17/2 7/1 17/2
Righthere Rightnow improved to third last time out, having also managed two fourths among his last five starts, and sits third in the field on our figures. He has raced over today's trip and ground before, though he is yet to win in that sequence.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Harlequin Angel silks
Harlequin Angel
Age 3 · 9-5
310-10
87
79
87OR
3
9-5
16/1 22/1 14/1
Harlequin Angel has won two of her last five starts but was unplaced last time out, having also missed the frame three starts back. She has raced over today's trip and ground before, though she rates only tenth of eleven on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Rogue Messiah silks
Rogue Messiah
Age 3 · 9-4
18-219
86
77
86OR
3
9-4
22/1 16/1 22/1
Rogue Messiah has won two of his last five starts, including one two starts back, but was well beaten in ninth last time out. He has raced over today's trip and ground before, and needs to bounce back having been off 36 days.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Secret History silks
Secret History
Age 3 · 8-11
23-114
79
87
79OR
3
8-11
11/2 12/1 4/1
Secret History won two of her last five starts in a row, two and three runs back, but faded to fourth last time out. She has raced over today's trip and ground before, returning here 42 days on from that below-par run.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Glen Nevis silks
Glen Nevis
Age 3 · 8-9
243
77
70
77OR
3
8-9
33/1 16/1 28/1
Glen Nevis is yet to win in his last three starts, though competitive with a third, a fourth and a second. He has raced over today's trip and ground before, but our figures rate him last of eleven, well below his official mark of 77.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crimson Spirit 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 9/2 Bet365
2 Exposure 5/2 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 William Hill
3 Pinatubo's Legacy 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 Bet365
4 Sword 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Nikovo 11/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 Bet365
6 Leadman 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 Bet365
7 Righthere Rightnow 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
8 Harlequin Angel 16/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Rogue Messiah 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 William Hill
10 Secret History 11/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 15.00 4/1 open 15.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 Bet365
11 Glen Nevis 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crimson Spirit

Speculative

Crimson Spirit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Daniel & Claire Kubler Billy Loughnane
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Exposure

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Rogue Messiah

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · James Owen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Crimson Spirit
54.3 9/2
2 2. Exposure
54.3 5/2
3 6. Leadman
54.0 17/2
4 10. Secret History
53.5 11/2
5 7. Righthere Rightnow
50.4 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Secret History
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-13
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-11
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-11
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-10
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-7
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-11
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-12
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Secret History
Confidence: Medium

Secret History (SR:87, 9/1) carries a featherweight 8-11, giving it a 15lb pull on top-weight Crimson Spirit (SR:88) despite only a 1-point SR deficit — a decisive weight advantage in a competitive Class 3 handicap. The form string 23-114 shows a horse that has won twice recently and placed consistently, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm it handles 7f on good-to-firm ground specifically. The market has steamed 35% from its opening price, the strongest move in the field, suggesting William Buick's booking and Ed Walker's yard (14% strike rate over 726 runners — a reliable sample) are very deliberate. The class rise (↑1) is a concern but the weight relief and strong going/distance fit more than compensate. Each-way alternative: Nikovo. Main danger: Crimson Spirit — Crimson Spirit carries the joint-top SR (88), has market support (in8%), drops a class (↓1), and Billy Loughnane's 18% strike rate over 1,577 rides makes this a professional booking — if the +4 mark rise doesn't bite, it's the main rival at 7/2.

Shortlist Secret History, Crimson Spirit, Nikovo, Harlequin Angel
Each-way: Nikovo Danger: Crimson Spirit

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade