Excell Supply Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f1y
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
SR 132 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Ancient Realm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 Dream Vega | 4/7 open 2.63 | — | 8/15 open 2.75 | 8/15 open 2.63 | 1/2 open 2.75 | 4/7 open 2.75 | 4/7 Bet365 |
| 3 Golden Mabel | 100/1 open 126.00 | — | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Mint | 22/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Moonlight Melody | 50/1 open 29.00 | — | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Secret Oath | 7/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/1 open 5.00 | 7/1 open 5.00 | 7/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Something Coming | 7/2 open 4.33 | — | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 4/1 William Hill |
| 8 Venetian Sky | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Veronique | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dream Vega owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dream Vega (SR:160, 5/6) is comfortably the highest-rated runner in this field by a margin of 8 points over Secret Oath (SR:152), and the market has backed that judgement emphatically — a 33% inward move from opening price to 5/6 is a powerful signal of stable confidence. Ed Walker (14% strike rate from 726 runners) booking Ashley Lewis for a 7f1y Chester maiden on good ground is a purposeful assignment, and a form line of 42 in maidens suggests an improving filly who has faced stronger opposition than today's rivals. All weights are level at 9-2 so there is no burden to overcome, and the SR advantage alone makes this a straightforward case — the market is simply confirming what the ratings tell us. Each-way alternative: Secret Oath. Main danger: Secret Oath — Secret Oath (SR:152, 13/2) is a Charlie Appleby-trained two-year-old with a form line of 24 suggesting genuine ability at a young age, and Appleby's 28% career strike rate means any runner of his carrying market confidence deserves respect — though the 379-day absence and 41% drift make it a significant risk.