Navan Handicap · 1m2f40y
SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 44 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sonoran | 5/1 open 7.00 | — | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Beauparc | 15/2 open 11.00 | — | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Steel Cut | 11/1 open 9.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Genoah | 11/4 open 3.50 | — | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Daonethatgotaway | 16/1 open 10.00 | — | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 6 Cala Bonita | 9/2 open 6.00 | — | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Lady Chartwell | 33/1 open 51.00 | — | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Letiza | 9/1 open 29.00 | — | 11/1 open 41.00 | 11/1 open 41.00 | 10/1 open 41.00 | 10/1 open 41.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 9 Raydamann | 6/1 open 4.50 | — | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 Coral |
| 10 Felix Somary | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Admiral Will Brown | 14/1 open 23.00 | — | 11/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Genoah owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Genoah (SR 85, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 6 points clear of the next-best runner, and critically carries only 9-11 — manageable weight for the ability on offer. The MarkMv:-11 signal is the most compelling data point in the race: running off a mark 11lb lower than last win suggests the handicapper has given a significant concession, and connections have activated that opportunity just 14 days after the last run, indicating urgency. Trainer M D O'Callaghan runs at 10% strike rate from 262 runners — respectable at this level — and the form string 1-1902 shows two wins at a higher mark, confirming the ability is there when conditions suit. The 9/4 market reflects genuine confidence, not just SR leadership. Each-way alternative: Raydamann. Main danger: Cala Bonita — Cala Bonita (SR 79, 11/2) carries only 9-5 — a 6lb weight advantage over Genoah — and the form string 2118-4 shows a horse that was winning consistently before a likely course/going interruption, and at 4 years old has natural improvement scope that could bridge the SR gap.