Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race · 1m2f40y
Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Confused | 7/2 open 3.50 | — | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 South Island | 15/8 open 3.75 | — | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 Betfred |
| 3 Summer Is Tomorrow | 2/1 | — | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Hard Promises | 11/1 open 10.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mo Mhuirin | 13/2 open 7.00 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Confused owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Confused (SR 157) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field, with a 16-point SR advantage over the next-best Hard Promises (SR 141) and a massive 53-point gap on South Island and Summer Is Tomorrow. At 9/4 and carrying 9-10, the weight is manageable and the Harrington yard has form in these EBF conditions races. The recent form reading '41' (4th then 1st, most recent last) shows a bounce-back win last time out 40 days ago, suggesting peak fitness. While both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown samples, the SR superiority here is so pronounced that it overcomes those uncertainties in a 5-runner field at this prize level. Each-way alternative: Summer Is Tomorrow. Main danger: Summer Is Tomorrow — Summer Is Tomorrow (SR 104) is the market's 13/8 favourite with a 13% market move inward and the booking of Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate, 874 runners) — connections are clearly bullish, the visor is applied first-time, and JPO'Brien's 15% trainer strike rate means this runner has professional backing that the SR alone does not fully capture.