Excell Supply Handicap · 6f17y
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Art Lover | 4/1 open 6.00 | — | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Grasmere Boy | 3/1 open 4.33 | — | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Inca Heights | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Kind Touch | 9/4 open 5.00 | — | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Polka Blue | 17/2 open 6.00 | — | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 Betfred |
| 6 Cotai Lights | 14/1 open 19.00 | — | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Kody B | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sargent Dennis | 5/1 open 3.50 | — | 5/1 open 3.25 | 5/1 open 3.25 | 5/1 open 3.25 | 11/2 open 3.25 | 11/2 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Grasmere Boy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kind Touch (SR 91, 11/4) leads the field on Saturday Rating and arrives dropping two class tiers, giving it a meaningful competitive edge over similar-rated rivals. The 22% market shortening is the strongest inbound move in the race and signals genuine stable/market confidence — money is coming in decisively. Form of 12-37 shows a winner and placed runs before a 7th last time, but the drop of two class levels from that run makes the 7th far less concerning. At 9-6 it carries 3lb less than Art Lover and Grasmere Boy, a useful weight advantage at Chester's tight, stamina-testing 6f where every pound counts. Each-way alternative: Sargent Dennis. Main danger: Art Lover — Art Lover (SR 89, 9/2) has the same SR as Kind Touch's closest rivals, a 14% market move inward, and William Haggas's powerful yard booking Harry Davies — though 276 days off and a tongue-tie first-time is a concern, Haggas only runs horses off long breaks when they are ready, making the fitness risk manageable.