John Smith's Handicap · 5f15y
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Miraculous | 8/1 open 12.00 | — | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 0 Coyy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Secret Mistral | 11/4 open 5.00 | — | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 Betfred |
| 2 Beauzon | 22/1 open 11.00 | — | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Beaumadier | 10/1 open 7.50 | — | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 The Flying Seagull | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Intervention | 16/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Alfa Duplicate | 9/4 open 4.33 | — | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 8 General Assembly | 28/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Maharajas Express | 9/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 10 Ay Gee Ell | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 14/1 Coral |
| 12 Arlo's Girl | 50/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Knicks | 11/2 open 7.00 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alfa Duplicate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alfa Duplicate (SR 83, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops three class tiers, a significant relief that explains the market confidence — shortened 9% since opening. Carrying 9-8 gives a meaningful weight advantage over top-weighted Secret Mistral (SR 81, 10-0), so the SR lead is compounded by 6lb in hand. The form string 113166 shows consistent competitiveness with wins earlier in the sequence, and a drop of this magnitude into Class 5 from a higher tier means the 'poor' recent figures (6-6) were against stronger opposition. At 5/2, this is the race's most credible combination of ability, weight relief, and market endorsement. Each-way alternative: Secret Mistral. Main danger: Secret Mistral — Secret Mistral (SR 81, 7/2) has proven course form (W0P2 at Chester), a confirmed distance and going fit (+/+), shortened 8% in the market, and drops a class — strong multiple-signal alignment that makes it the most credible threat to Alfa Duplicate.