Ireland 5yo Market Favourite

Cerulean Bay (IRE)

T: David O'Meara · J: Cieren Fallon · O: Nick Cable

By New Bay (GB) out of Kathy Sun (IRE)

Form 4258429058

5/1 Current odds

7/35 W/R

107 RPR

96 TS

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Active

35 runs
7 wins
placed
20% strike
5 d off
117 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 4258429058 5 days off

8 5 0 9 2 4

At Goodwood 2/4 2 wins · 3 placed

On Good to Soft 2/5 2 wins · 3 placed

Best RPR 117 Career peak

Best TS 112 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 28 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 47
Win %: 20%
Placed %: 40%
Trend: Fading

Course Record

14 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Goodwood — well clear of the 40% career baseline.

Haydock 25% 1-1-8
Ascot 29% 0-2-7
York 40% 0-2-5
Goodwood SPEC 75% 2-1-4
Thirsk 100% 2-0-2
Ayr 100% 1-0-1
Hamilton 100% 1-0-1
Nottingham 100% 0-1-1
Beverley 0% 0-0-1
Chester 0% 0-0-1
Leopardstown 0% 0-0-1
Pontefract 0% 0-0-1
Sandown 0% 0-0-1
Yarmouth 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

17 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

Daniel Tudhope 46% 3-3-13
David Nolan 33% 0-1-3
Jason Watson 33% 1-0-3
Oisin Murphy 100% 1-1-2
Daniel Muscutt 0% 0-0-2
Mirai Iwata 100% 0-1-1
Rossa Ryan 100% 1-0-1
Ryan Sexton 100% 1-0-1
Sean Levey 100% 0-1-1
Cieren Fallon NOW 0% 0-0-1
Colin Keane 0% 0-0-1
David Probert 0% 0-0-1
Harry Davies 0% 0-0-1
James Doyle 0% 0-0-1
Jamie Kah 0% 0-0-1
Kevin Stott 0% 0-0-1
Richard Kingscote 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

David O'Meara NOW 40% 7-7-35

Going Record

35 classifiable runs

Allrounder Handles a range — peak 60% on Good to Soft, but no surface bias jumps out.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 33% 0-4-12
Good 38% 4-1-13
Good to Soft 60% 2-1-5
Soft 50% 1-1-4
Heavy 0% 0-0-1

Distance Record

35 classifiable runs

Specialist Pure sprint horse — 67% in-the-money at ≤ 6f.

Sprint ≤ 6f 67% 2-0-3
Seven 6½ – 7f 41% 3-4-17
Mile 7f – 1m1f 33% 2-3-15
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f — 0 runs
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

11 Oct 2026 Inkerman London Handicap Stakes Goodwood Class 2 8th/13 .75 Good To Soft 1m Cieren Fallon OR 102 3/1J

26 Sep 2026 William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes Haydock Class 2 5th/9 .75 Heavy 1m Daniel Tudhope OR 104 4/1

20 Aug 2026 Sir Kevin Sinfield 7 In 7 Grand Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) York Class 2 12th/14 1.25 Good To Soft 1m Daniel Tudhope OR 105 12/1

8 Aug 2026 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Class 2 Handicap) Ascot Class 2 9th/10 2.5 Good To Firm 1m Jamie Melham OR 106 7/1

31 Jul 2026 Coral Golden Mile (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Goodwood Class 2 2nd/18 1.25 Good To Firm 1m Daniel Tudhope OR 105 12/1

26 Jul 2026 William Hill Pomfret Stakes (Listed Race) Pontefract Class 1 4th/6 0.1 Good To Firm 1m David Nolan OR 105 15/2

11 Jul 2026 John Smith's Racing Handicap York Class 2 8th/13 2 Good To Firm 7f192y Daniel Tudhope OR 105 3/1J

17 Jun 2026 Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot Class 2 5th/28 .5 Good To Firm 1m Daniel Tudhope OR 105 25/1

14 May 2026 Oakmere Homes Hambleton Handicap York Class 2 2nd/18 0.3 Good 1m Daniel Tudhope OR 103 6/1

25 Apr 2026 William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Haydock Class 2 4th/12 0.2 Good To Firm 7f37y Daniel Muscutt OR 103 12/1

Connections

Trainer: David O'Meara 13%
Jockey: Cieren Fallon 18%
Owner: Nick Cable
Sire: New Bay (GB)
Dam: Kathy Sun (IRE)
Dam sire: Intikhab
Country: Ireland
Age: 5yo

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