Simon & Nerys Dutfield Memorial British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f213y
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Undiscovered | 5/4 open 2.50 | — | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.20 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Avionics | 17/2 open 3.75 | — | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 5.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 3 Bincimbal | 11/2 open 8.00 | — | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Channel Islands | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Chertsey | 28/1 open 15.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Down To You Kid | 15/8 open 3.75 | — | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 15/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Undiscovered owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Undiscovered (SR 157, 11/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and the only one with proven course form — a win and a place at Salisbury. The 6% market shortening confirms stable confidence despite the step up two class tiers, and Ralph Beckett (17% strike rate, 820 runners) booking Hector Crouch (17%, 729 runners) signals a yard taking this seriously. Carrying 9-8 versus the 9-4 pack means a 4lb weight disadvantage, but the 7-point SR edge over second-rated Avionics is more than sufficient to absorb that burden on good-to-firm ground at a specialist track where course form genuinely matters. Each-way alternative: Avionics. Main danger: Avionics — Avionics (SR 154, 7/2) is only 3 points behind Undiscovered on SR, carries 4lb less weight, and Andrew Balding's yard runs at a 19% career strike rate — the drift of 20% in the market is the main concern, but in a six-runner novice with DistFit unknowns across the board, a well-bred Balding runner at a fair price on ability grounds alone cannot be dismissed.