Newgrange Hotel Handicap · 5f180y
SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 31 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Thurso | 5/1 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Phoenix Pairc | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 3 Poweracclaim | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 In The Gloaming | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Aurora Nova | 40/1 open 23.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Are You In Or Out | 9/1 open 15.00 | — | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Gotta Catch'em All | 6/1 open 12.00 | — | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 Coral |
| 8 Irish Rumour | 9/2 open 7.00 | — | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 Coral |
| 9 Coincidental Glory | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 10 Reinforce | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Elly Bay | 10/1 open 12.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 Coral |
| 12 Verified | 10/1 open 6.50 | — | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 13 Prime Sign | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 14 The Cosy Corner | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Dubai Opulence | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Step Back In Time | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thurso owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 65 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 62 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thurso (SR:69, 9/2) holds the strongest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and is the only runner proven on Good to Firm going (GoingFit:+), a meaningful edge on a sharp 5f180y track where horses that handle the ground thrive. Carrying 10-2 is the heaviest burden in the race, but the SR advantage over the next-best (Poweracclaim SR:65, Coincidental Glory SR:62) is sufficient to offset the weight penalty in this modest €7,068 handicap. Apprentice Sam Coen (5lb claimer at 10% strike rate from 121 runners) partially reduces the weight disadvantage, and the moderate DistFit:~ suggests the trip is not a barrier. The 9/2 price reflects fair market respect without overreaction, and the GoingFit:+ is the sole positive going confirmation in the entire field. Each-way alternative: Coincidental Glory. Main danger: Poweracclaim — Poweracclaim (SR:65, 10/3) is the second-rated runner and is shorter in the market than Thurso, with trainer J P Murtagh and jockey Ben Coen (13% from 595 runners) a high-quality booking that commands respect, though the DistFit:- flag is a genuine concern at this trip.