Ashen
SpeculativeAshen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Rocca Restaurant & Ora Bar Hamilton Handicap · 6f6y
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ingleby Archie | 2/1 open 3.50 | — | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 Coral |
| 2 Not Me | 11/2 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 3.75 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Eartha | 40/1 open 21.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ashen | 11/8 open 5.00 | — | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 5/4 open 4.00 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 6/4 Coral |
| 5 Iris Dancer | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 William Hill |
| 6 Come On Over | 13/2 open 4.00 | — | 17/2 open 4.33 | 17/2 open 4.33 | 9/1 open 4.33 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 9/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ashen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ashen (SR:76, 13/8) has steamed in 42% in the market — the most dramatic move in this field by some distance — and Jim Goldie's yard operates at a 15% strike rate from 482 runners, which is a meaningful signal at this level. The form string 773134 shows consistent competitiveness with a recent placed effort, and at 9-9 Ashen carries 5lb less than top-weight Ingleby Archie (SR:82) while sitting only 6 SR points behind. The DistFit:~ is a mild concern over 6f6y but not disqualifying, and the 5-day turnaround suggests connections are confident the horse is in peak condition right now. Each-way alternative: Ingleby Archie. Main danger: Ingleby Archie — Ingleby Archie (SR:82) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has shortened 5% in the market, and showed a consistent recent form sequence of 4321 with proven distance fitness — if the market move on Ashen proves over-enthusiastic, Archie's class edge at the top of the SR range could tell.