Ripon 19:09 RESULTED
Class 5 6 Jul 2026

Monday 6 July Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap · 1m

Official Result

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jesmond Dawn (IRE) Oisin Orr · Grant Tuer
    3/1J
  2. 11/2
  3. 17/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Lingfield (AW)

14:15–17:55 · 8 races

Ayr

14:30–17:30 · 7 races

Roscommon

16:38–20:22 · 8 races

Ripon

18:09–20:52 · 6 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30–21:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Urban Road silks
Urban Road
Age 7 · 9-9
623500
70
58
70OR
7
9-9
11/1 9/1 10/1
Failed to get into contention at York most recently, trailing throughout from off the pace in a handicap; a first-time visor represents a change of approach and the trip is well within his range, though he needs a significant pickup in form to make his presence felt here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 58, uninspiring form of 623500, and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-9.

2
Glorious Kitty silks
Glorious Kitty
Age 4 · 9-9
-25112
70
76
70OR
4
9-9
3/1 11/4 3/1
Came close last time, just two lengths back when the ground turned softer than ideal, and prior to that she strung together back-to-back wins; she handles today's conditions and trip with authority and arrives from a competitive mark — this looks a solid opportunity for her.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-9 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 76, Glorious Kitty's fading form figure of -25112 undermines her 3/1 market position.

3
Up The Jazz silks
Up The Jazz
Age 5 · 9-6
392361
67
74
67OR
5
9-6
11/4 FCST 5/2
Returned to top form last time, winning narrowly in a handicap off a mark 3lb lower than today's; he steps up 3lb here but handles any going and is effective over this trip, showing good tenacity to get his head in front — a genuine danger at this level.
AI verdict

Solid recent form (392361) and a 74 Saturday Rating justify mid-market 11/4 odds, but 9-6 weight limits upside.

4
Poet's Dawn silks
Poet's Dawn
Age 11 · 9-6
914166
67
61
67OR
11
9-6
17/2 13/2 17/2
Off the pace by some margin last time, beaten 8 lengths and below his best, but a drop back to 1m is a positive angle here; first-time cheekpieces are fitted and the jockey-trainer combination at this track has a strong record — improvement required, but an each-way outsider to note.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 61, inconsistent form (914166), and 9-6 weight limit opportunities at 17/2 suggest limited winning prospects.

5
Popeye Doyle silks
Popeye Doyle
Age 4 · 9-5
36-029
66
41
66OR
4
9-5
28/1 20/1 25/1
Prone to running too freely — that tendency cost him dearly at Carlisle last time, where he was well beaten — and first-time blinkers and tongue-tie are the stable's attempt to keep him settled; effective over this trip on a sound surface but hard to trust given his inconsistency.
AI verdict

Rated just 41 with 28/1 odds and a poor form reading of 36-029 makes Popeye Doyle a very unconvincing runner.

6
Jesmond Dawn silks
Jesmond Dawn
Age 5 · 9-4
0-7235
65
65
65OR
5
9-4
9/2 7/2 9/2
Finished 3 lengths back at Beverley last time off this exact mark, keeping on with credit; back out just three days later with the trainer in good form, and he handles this trip on a sound surface — the quick reappearance is the one question but he is capable of going well again.
AI verdict

Carrying 9-4 with a Saturday Rating of 65 and patchy form of 0-7235 at 9/2 makes Jesmond Dawn an unconvincing each-way proposition.

7
Hopeful Joy silks
Hopeful Joy
Age 4 · 9-4
423-79
65
45
65OR
4
9-4
20/1 14/1 20/1
Disappointed at Pontefract last time, finishing well down the field in conditions that clearly didn't suit; 45 days have since passed and she handles the trip on a sound surface, but the trainer is in a quiet spell and she needs to find significant improvement to get involved here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 45 combined with poor recent form of 423-79 and 20/1 odds make Hopeful Joy a clear outsider.

8
Precious Spartan silks
Precious Spartan
Age 4 · 9-3
4973-9
64
67
64OR
4
9-3
5/1 9/2 5/1
Starts here after 89 days off the track and must put a poor run at Catterick behind him, where he was slowly away and never in contention; he handles today's trip and going and at his best is competitive at this level, though the layoff leaves a question mark.
AI verdict

Rated 67 with inconsistent form (4973-9) and carrying 9-3 at 5/1 suggests a mid-tier contender lacking recent winning evidence.

9
Volenti silks
Volenti
Age 7 · 8-4
097443
51
49
51OR
7
8-4
11/1 9/1 11/1
Third in his most recent outing at Redcar, going down by 4 lengths in a handicap and keeping to his form level; he handles today's trip and going on a variety of surfaces, but our figures place him as the outsider of the field and he needs the principals to underperform.
AI verdict

Low Saturday Rating of 49, weak 097443 form, and 11/1 market dismissal make Volenti an unconvincing each-way prospect.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Urban Road 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Glorious Kitty 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 Coral
3 Up The Jazz 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 5/2 11/4 Bet365
4 Poet's Dawn 17/2 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Coral
5 Popeye Doyle 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Jesmond Dawn 9/2 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 9/2 Bet365
7 Hopeful Joy 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
8 Precious Spartan 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
9 Volenti 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Glorious Kitty

Speculative

Glorious Kitty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Michael & David Easterby Lewis Chalkley(7)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Up The Jazz

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Popeye Doyle

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Jessica Bedi
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Glorious Kitty
54.4 3/1
2 3. Up The Jazz
52.0 11/4
3 6. Jesmond Dawn
50.8 9/2
4 8. Precious Spartan
48.2 5/1
5 1. Urban Road
45.8 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Precious Spartan
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 9-6
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

Solid recent form (392361) and a 74 Saturday Rating justify mid-market 11/4 odds, but 9-6 weight limits upside.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-9 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 76, Glorious Kitty's fading form figure of -25112 undermines her 3/1 market position.

6
Age 5 · 9-4
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Carrying 9-4 with a Saturday Rating of 65 and patchy form of 0-7235 at 9/2 makes Jesmond Dawn an unconvincing each-way proposition.

8
Age 4 · 9-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

Rated 67 with inconsistent form (4973-9) and carrying 9-3 at 5/1 suggests a mid-tier contender lacking recent winning evidence.

4
Age 11 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 61, inconsistent form (914166), and 9-6 weight limit opportunities at 17/2 suggest limited winning prospects.

1
Age 7 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 58, uninspiring form of 623500, and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-9.

9
Age 7 · 8-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

Low Saturday Rating of 49, weak 097443 form, and 11/1 market dismissal make Volenti an unconvincing each-way prospect.

7
Age 4 · 9-4
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 45 combined with poor recent form of 423-79 and 20/1 odds make Hopeful Joy a clear outsider.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Precious Spartan
Confidence: Medium

Precious Spartan (SR:67, 5/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-3 and has steamed in 29% in the market — the most aggressive positive move in this field — suggesting connections are confident after a 310-day absence. The Course:W2P2 record at Ripon is exceptional, demonstrating a genuine track specialist, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over today's mile. Trainer Patrick Neville hits at 16% with 43 runners, a sharp strike rate for a small yard indicating horses arrive ready, and MarkMv:-1 means the mark has eased slightly since the last win — a clear structural advantage. The form string 4973-9 shows a horse returning from a long break whose last run before the layoff was a 3 (placed at this class), and the class drop (↓1) adds further encouragement. Each-way alternative: Up The Jazz. Main danger: Up The Jazz — Up The Jazz (SR:74, 11/4) carries the highest SR in the field with DistFit:+ and Course:W1P3 at Ripon, and a last-run winning form figure at 11/4 makes it the most likely winner if it handles the step up in class (↑1) and the GoingFit:~ is not a limiting factor.

Shortlist Precious Spartan, Up The Jazz, Glorious Kitty
Each-way: Up The Jazz Danger: Up The Jazz

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade