Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) · 1m7f204y
Rated 136 with improving form but starting at 9/1 and carrying top weight of 11-12 limits confidence.
Consistent form figures of 2323-3 and a solid 115 Saturday Rating justify potential, but 5/2 odds and 11-8 weight suggest limited upside for a non-favourite.
Sestini's mid-tier 144 Saturday Rating, 11/2 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 34 limit confidence despite competitive 11-8 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 121 is undermined by 200/1 odds and a weak 500- form, signalling minimal winning prospects.
A 40/1 outsider carrying 11-4 with form reading 667B- and a Saturday Rating of 118 signals limited winning prospects.
Rated 121 but carrying 11-4 with blank form of 00 and dismissive 200/1 odds signals minimal winning prospects.
Long odds of 50/1 and poor form figures of 05P9-7 undermine any case for Jodoro's 116 Saturday Rating.
Modest Saturday Rating of 146 and limited form reading F/ cap confidence despite fair 15/8 odds.
Ol Parson's 66/1 odds and poor form figures of PP2-49 signal minimal market confidence despite carrying 11-4.
Odds of 200/1 and a single non-completion in form signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 11-4.
Strong Saturday Rating of 151 combined with competitive 9/4 odds and consistent form figures of 2-4 justify four stars.
Humble Berkshire's 125/1 odds and poor P0 form undermine the 122 Saturday Rating, making a strong case unlikely.
At 33/1 and a Saturday Rating of 126, Like An Ocean lacks market confidence and form to threaten stronger contenders.
Long-shot odds of 28/1 and a modest Saturday Rating of 126 signal limited winning prospects in this maiden hurdle.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Carrig Padraig | 9/1 open 9.50 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Manoir De Mirande | 5/2 open 3.75 | — | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 open 3.50 | — | 11/4 William Hill |
| 3 Sestini | 11/2 open 6.00 | — | 5/1 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Home By The Sea | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Il Pirata | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 It's Time To Leave | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Jodoro | 50/1 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Coral |
| 8 Minella Moon Shine | 15/8 open 3.00 | — | 7/4 | 7/4 | 15/8 open 2.75 | — | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 9 Ol Parson | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Saviour Blu | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 11 World As One | 9/4 open 3.00 | — | 9/4 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 9/4 | 5/2 William Hill |
| 12 Humble Berkshire | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 | 150/1 Coral |
| 13 Like An Ocean | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Neat As A Pin | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 25/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
World As One owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalModest Saturday Rating of 146 and limited form reading F/ cap confidence despite fair 15/8 odds.
Strong Saturday Rating of 151 combined with competitive 9/4 odds and consistent form figures of 2-4 justify four stars.
Consistent form figures of 2323-3 and a solid 115 Saturday Rating justify potential, but 5/2 odds and 11-8 weight suggest limited upside for a non-favourite.
Sestini's mid-tier 144 Saturday Rating, 11/2 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 34 limit confidence despite competitive 11-8 weight.
Rated 136 with improving form but starting at 9/1 and carrying top weight of 11-12 limits confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Minella Moon Shine carries SR:146 — the second-highest in the field — at a favourable weight of 11-4, a full 8lb lighter than top-weight Carrig Padraig and matching the lightest of the serious contenders. At 15/8 the market has made it clear favourite, and trainer John J Nallen's 10% strike rate from a small string (31 runners) suggests a yard that places horses well. The single fall in its abbreviated form (F/) is not a soundness red flag given the short record, and maiden hurdles at this level regularly reward the horse with the highest ability ceiling entering from limited hurdling experience. World As One (SR:151, 9/4) holds the SR advantage but has drifted 6% from opening price and is trained by Mullins with Sean O'Keeffe rather than a top booking — suggesting this is not the yard's A1 target, while Minella Moon Shine is clearly the market's primary conviction play. Each-way alternative: Sestini. Main danger: World As One — World As One holds the highest SR in the field at 151 and Mullins' 20% career strike rate means even a second-string runner from that yard arrives with serious ability claims, and a form figure of 4 last time from only a second hurdling start leaves room for natural improvement.