Expert Entertainment & Event Solutions Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m1y
Solid Saturday Rating of 82 and fair 6/4 odds are tempered by lightweight form figures of 15 suggesting inconsistency.
Long-shot odds of 150/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 119, and limited form of 4-0 signal minimal winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 120 with 50/1 odds and a form figure of 5 signals limited winning prospects.
Fiefdom's weak 654 form, outsider odds of 10/1, and low Saturday Rating of 63 signal limited winning prospects here.
Outsider odds of 50/1 and weak form figures of 57 confirm Ingemar's low Saturday Rating of 122.
Rated just 67 with uninspiring form of 754 and drifting at 8/1, Santiago Boy shows little evidence to justify market confidence.
At 14/1 and carrying 9-4 with unknown form, Seigneur's 135 Saturday Rating suggests ability but market confidence is lacking.
Rated 81 with inconsistent form (024) and 11/4 odds suggest mid-tier potential without favourite market confidence.
Saturday Rating of 146 combined with competitive 6/1 odds and improving form figure of 83 justify strong 4-star potential.
Cherringham's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 146, modest 13/2 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 55 suggest limited winning prospects.
Outsider odds of 125/1 and modest form figures of 86 signal minimal winning prospects despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 125.
Long-shot odds of 50/1 and unknown form limit confidence despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 124.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Rogue Defence | 6/4 open 3.75 | — | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 William Hill |
| 2 Lady Of Chivalry | 150/1 open 126.00 | — | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Nothing But Love | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Fiefdom | 10/1 open 8.00 | — | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ingemar | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Santiago Boy | 8/1 open 8.00 | — | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 7 Seigneur | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Betfred |
| 8 West Byfleet | 11/4 open 4.33 | — | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 9 Mythological Star | 6/1 open 4.50 | — | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 | 7/1 William Hill |
| 10 Cherringham | 13/2 open 6.00 | — | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Ivat Ghia | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Legally Bay | 50/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mythological Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (81) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSolid Saturday Rating of 82 and fair 6/4 odds are tempered by lightweight form figures of 15 suggesting inconsistency.
Rated 81 with inconsistent form (024) and 11/4 odds suggest mid-tier potential without favourite market confidence.
Saturday Rating of 146 combined with competitive 6/1 odds and improving form figure of 83 justify strong 4-star potential.
Cherringham's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 146, modest 13/2 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 55 suggest limited winning prospects.
Rated just 67 with uninspiring form of 754 and drifting at 8/1, Santiago Boy shows little evidence to justify market confidence.
Fiefdom's weak 654 form, outsider odds of 10/1, and low Saturday Rating of 63 signal limited winning prospects here.
At 14/1 and carrying 9-4 with unknown form, Seigneur's 135 Saturday Rating suggests ability but market confidence is lacking.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Rogue Defence (SR 82, 6/4) is a counter-intuitive pick given the SR ceiling, but this is a novice stakes where form and class are thin across the board and the market has moved forcefully — a 23% inward move to 6/4 is the single strongest market signal in the race. The horse has already broken its duck at Lingfield (Course:W1P1), providing course familiarity that no other runner can match, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) which is the most favourable competitive context. Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate on 1,548 rides is the best jockey booking in the field by some margin, and the combination of course winner, class drop, and strong money makes this a compelling case despite the modest SR. The SR of 82 is admittedly low, but in a field where the top-rated horses are all either heavily drifted, unraced, or showing unreliable recent form, raw ability ratings matter less than competitive signals. Each-way alternative: Cherringham. Main danger: Mythological Star — Mythological Star carries the joint-highest SR in the field (146) on the lowest competitive weight (9-2), and despite drifting 29%, the Kubler yard runs at 13% and the form of 83 shows progressive improvement over two runs that could translate at this class level.