Roscommon 17:13 RESULTED
6 Jul 2026

Monday 6 July Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m4f125y

Official Result

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Take The Free (IRE) Aidan Kelly · E Bolger
    2/1
  2. 15/8F
  3. 15/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Lingfield (AW)

14:15–17:55 · 8 races

Ayr

14:30–17:30 · 7 races

Roscommon

16:38–20:22 · 8 races

Ripon

18:09–20:52 · 6 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30–21:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Acheron silks
Acheron
Age 5 · 11-4
U-002
105
92
105OR
5
11-4
14/1
Shaped with renewed promise at Downpatrick latest, finishing runner-up at long odds beaten 2l on going he handles; effective up to 2m6f and not without a chance if building on that effort, though ranked 13th on our figures and his trainer has struggled for results recently.
AI verdict

Acheron's 14/1 odds, modest 92 Saturday Rating, and form showing no wins from three hurdle starts justify just 2/5 stars.

2
Casper Charlie silks
Casper Charlie
Age 5 · 11-4
0-
123
5
11-4
28/1
Showed too much early enthusiasm on his bumper debut at Punchestown, finishing well beaten, and now switches to hurdling after a break of over two months; considerable improvement required to figure here.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-4 with a single run form of 0- and 28/1 odds signals the market holds little confidence in Casper Charlie.

3
Cooladdi silks
Cooladdi
Age 6 · 11-4
3276-7
102
91
102OR
6
11-4
14/1 FCST 12/1
Useful early form that was endorsed at Listed level, though winless in his last five starts and well beaten at Downpatrick latest in what appeared a gentle outing; dons a hood here and handles this distance and going, but more is needed.
AI verdict

Cooladdi's poor form (3276-7) and 14/1 odds suggest limited market confidence despite carrying 11-4.

4
Frankie's Freebie silks
Frankie's Freebie
Age 6 · 11-4
2240-2
112
114
112OR
6
11-4
3/1
A hurdling novice with a point-to-point background, he has run consistently well over hurdles, most recently runner-up beaten 1¼l at Punchestown on going he handles; effective from 2m4f to 3m and respected here, though yet to win over timber.
AI verdict

Rated 114 with consistent form (2240-2) and fair 3/1 odds, but 11-4 weight and non-favourite market position limit the ceiling.

5
Fuusland silks
Fuusland
Age 5 · 11-4
140
5
11-4
10/1 9/1 10/1
A Jet Away gelding making his debut, he is trained by a top handler who can place a debutant to good effect; his dam was modest over longer trips, though he could make a fair impression on his first start, and the trainer's recent lean spell is the caveat.
AI verdict

Rated 140 but sent off at 10/1 carrying 11-4 with unknown form suggests market caution limits confidence.

6
Go To The Moon silks
Go To The Moon
Age 6 · 11-4
P1/0
124
6
11-4
33/1 28/1 33/1
Won a point-to-point, though the quality of that form is open to question, and he disappointed on his rules debut in a bumper at Sligo; returned here with a tongue-tie after a break of nearly two months, and his 3m stamina from pointing is the main asset.
AI verdict

Outsider odds of 33/1 and a patchy form reading of P1/0 undermine confidence despite a 124 Saturday Rating.

7
Imarajan silks
Imarajan
Age 5 · 11-4
45/4-2
105
103
105OR
5
11-4
13/2 6/1 13/2
Returned to his best form at Kilbeggan latest, finishing a close runner-up beaten three-quarters of a length in a maiden hurdle on going he handles; effective from 2m to 2m4f and now fitted with tongue-tie and cheekpieces, he holds a genuine chance.
AI verdict

Form figure of 45/4-2 shows consistent placing without a win, while 13/2 odds and 103 Saturday Rating suggest mid-tier market confidence.

8
Killowen House silks
Killowen House
Age 6 · 11-4
P61-37
139
6
11-4
12/1 9/1 12/1
A point winner who acts on good ground and is best at 3m, he was found wanting for pace when dropped in trip at Sligo latest; he should be better served by a stiffer test and remains of interest if the longer distance brings out more.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 139 shows ability, but 12/1 odds and inconsistent form (P61-37) limit confidence.

9
Little Big John silks
Little Big John
Age 5 · 11-4
P0-6
118
5
11-4
50/1
Tried in a different headgear combination at Punchestown last time but still held comfortably in a maiden hurdle; effective over 2m3f and has prior experience of today's going, though ranked 14th on our figures and in need of a significant step forward.
AI verdict

Odds of 50/1 and poor form figures of P0-6 reflect a Saturday Rating of 118 with little market confidence.

10
Blue Nude silks
Blue Nude
Age 4 · 10-13
0-
124
4
10-13
125/1 100/1 125/1
Well beaten on his only start in a bumper at Punchestown, he now switches to hurdling after nearly 70 days off the track; significant improvement will be needed for him to play a role here, and our figures have him ranked last in the field.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 124 is undermined by 125/1 odds, single poor form, and no market confidence.

11
Take The Free silks
Take The Free
Age 4 · 10-13
8-62
110
113
110OR
4
10-13
11/4 FCST 5/2
Showed a step forward at this course latest, finishing runner-up beaten 4¼l in a maiden hurdle on going he handles well; effective over 2m to 2m1f in testing conditions or on good ground, and a strong each-way prospect if continuing on an upward curve.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 113 and fair 11/4 odds are undermined by inconsistent 8-62 form and a 10-13 weight burden.

12
Lilac Lady silks
Lilac Lady
Age 6 · 10-11
353-24
96
93
96OR
6
10-11
12/1 FCST 11/1
Hard to fault for consistency, she has placed repeatedly in recent starts and handles today's ground well over 2m to 2m2f; fitted with a tongue-tie, she poses a genuine danger despite being beaten 6½l at Sligo latest.
AI verdict

Inconsistent form (353-24) and 12/1 odds suggest market scepticism despite a solid 93 Saturday Rating at 10-11.

13
Midnight Musical silks
Midnight Musical
Age 5 · 10-11
000-58
126
5
10-11
40/1
Out of sorts in recent outings and found well below her best at Wexford just three days ago; handles trips of 2m1f to 2m2f on today's going, but the quick return looks a concern and she appears up against it here.
AI verdict

Weak form figures of 000-58 and 40/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this 126-rated runner.

14
Online Order silks
Online Order
Age 5 · 10-11
7
127
5
10-11
50/1
Badly beaten on her only start in a mares bumper at Limerick, she switches to hurdling with a hood; significant improvement is required for her to make a mark here, though a fresh surface and new conditions could spark better.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 127 shows ability, but 50/1 odds and a single form figure of 7 suggest the market has little confidence.

15
Sea Feliz silks
Sea Feliz
Age 5 · 10-11
152
5
10-11
7/2
A 19,000 euros Getaway mare and half-sister to Morricone, useful at staying trips, she makes her debut for a top handler whose yard has a strong record in this race; debut market support would be significant, and our figures have her clear at the head of the field.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 152 and competitive 7/2 market odds justify four stars despite unknown form.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Acheron 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
2 Casper Charlie 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 Bet365
3 Cooladdi 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
4 Frankie's Freebie 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 Bet365
5 Fuusland 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 11/1 Coral
6 Go To The Moon 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 Bet365
7 Imarajan 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 7/1 William Hill
8 Killowen House 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Coral
9 Little Big John 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 Coral
10 Blue Nude 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 150/1 Coral
11 Take The Free 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 11/4 5/2 11/4 Bet365
12 Lilac Lady 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1 Bet365
13 Midnight Musical 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
14 Online Order 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
15 Sea Feliz 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sea Feliz

Live signal

Sea Feliz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 W P Mullins Anna McGuinness(4)
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Killowen House

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

12/1 · Paul John Gilligan
✓ Value Signal

Go To The Moon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Mark Michael McNiff
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 15. Sea Feliz
69.5 7/2
2 8. Killowen House
65.2 12/1
3 5. Fuusland
64.3 10/1
4 4. Frankie's Freebie
63.0 3/1
5 11. Take The Free
61.7 11/4
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Take The Free
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 4 · 10-13
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 113 and fair 11/4 odds are undermined by inconsistent 8-62 form and a 10-13 weight burden.

4
Age 6 · 11-4
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾

Rated 114 with consistent form (2240-2) and fair 3/1 odds, but 11-4 weight and non-favourite market position limit the ceiling.

15
Age 5 · 10-11
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 152 and competitive 7/2 market odds justify four stars despite unknown form.

7
Age 5 · 11-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾

Form figure of 45/4-2 shows consistent placing without a win, while 13/2 odds and 103 Saturday Rating suggest mid-tier market confidence.

5
Age 5 · 11-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 140 🐾

Rated 140 but sent off at 10/1 carrying 11-4 with unknown form suggests market caution limits confidence.

8
Age 6 · 11-4
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 139 shows ability, but 12/1 odds and inconsistent form (P61-37) limit confidence.

12
Age 6 · 10-11
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

Inconsistent form (353-24) and 12/1 odds suggest market scepticism despite a solid 93 Saturday Rating at 10-11.

1
Age 5 · 11-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

Acheron's 14/1 odds, modest 92 Saturday Rating, and form showing no wins from three hurdle starts justify just 2/5 stars.

3
Age 6 · 11-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

Cooladdi's poor form (3276-7) and 14/1 odds suggest limited market confidence despite carrying 11-4.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Take The Free
Confidence: Medium

Take The Free (SR:113, 11/4) is the market's second choice and represents the most coherent betting case in a wide-open maiden. Trainer E Bolger runs at a 16% career strike rate from just 37 runners — a sharp, selective yard that doesn't fire without expectation — and a recent form line of 8-62 shows genuine progression, with the latest run a second place that confirms readiness. At 10-13 the weight burden is lighter than most rivals, and the 11/4 price reflects genuine market confidence without overexposure. The stable clearly has this one primed: a 16% strike rate from 37 runners means Bolger picks his spots carefully, and this four-year-old arriving off 28 days with improving form is the archetypal yard-pattern runner. Each-way alternative: Sea Feliz. Main danger: Sea Feliz — Sea Feliz (SR:152, 7/2) is the class standout from the Mullins yard — despite an 8% drift and a blank form line, a 20% trainer strike rate from 1,165 runners means Mullins maidens regularly land on debut and the SR advantage over the field is substantial.

Shortlist Take The Free, Sea Feliz, Frankie's Freebie
Each-way: Sea Feliz Danger: Sea Feliz

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f125y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting