Dropped 2lb after being outpaced and trailing well beaten last time, Tuscan Point is at his best over course and distance on the all-weather and has a win in recent starts; a return to form is feasible from stall 1.
Form last 6521247
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 72 combined with inconsistent form (521247) and 9-9 weight limits confidence despite fair 11/2 odds.
Effective over today's trip on a sound surface, Dutch Finale was hampered by an awkward start last time and beaten well; he has shown little in recent starts, and stall 13 is a wide draw, with the trainer also out of form.
Form last 63380-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 56, distant 14/1 odds, and poor recent form of 3380-7 highlight Dutch Finale's limited winning prospects.
Rated lowest in the field on our figures, Dark Kestrel suits today's surface and has shown his best form on the all-weather; first-time tongue-tie and visor are fitted, and he finished promisingly last time despite a tardy start, going down narrowly off a mark 15lb lower than today's.
Form last 6644673
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-9 with weak form of 644673 and a lowly Saturday Rating of 56 at 14/1 makes Dark Kestrel a poor market prospect.
Second last time at Carlisle where he performed to his mark, Baba Reza is effective at 6f and at home on the all-weather as well as on turf; inconsistency is the caveat, but if he builds on that effort he is firmly in the picture.
Form last 69306-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of just 64, a patchy 9306-2 form, and 8/1 odds reflect the market's limited confidence in Baba Reza.
Placed at Southwell on his latest outing where he ran to his mark at 6f, Jesse Luc is at home on the all-weather and wears first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces here; the 86-day absence needs considering, and he is drawn wide in stall 11.
Form last 6-45353
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 66 and inconsistent form (-45353) at 9-7 weight make 15/2 odds an unreliable proposition.
Has a win among his last five starts and is suited by 5f on this surface, Maharajas Express ran too freely and was below par at Windsor last time, and while his mark has eased he needs to produce more than of late.
Form last 6136-47
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 68 with inconsistent form (136-47) and carrying 9-6 at 15/2, Maharajas Express lacks the profile to win.
All her wins have come on the all-weather and she is effective at 6f on a sound surface, making this a fitting stage for Daytona Lady; she was below her best last time, up 3lb today, but first-time cheekpieces can help her bounce back.
Form last 6313426
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Daytona Lady's mixed form of 313426 and modest Saturday Rating of 69 limit appeal despite fair 7/1 odds.
Effective at 6/7f on any surface and in fine form before last time, Moostar found the shorter trip at Chepstow too sharp and was well beaten; back at today's distance with first-time tongue-tie and visor fitted, she has the ability to bounce back.
Form last 6232236
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid 74 Saturday Rating and 3/1 market support are offset by top weight 9-5 and inconsistent form showing no recent wins.
Unplaced on turf last time and hard to trust on his recent record, Havana Sky is better suited to the all-weather than grass; returning to this surface is a genuine plus, though he needs to show considerably more than he has of late.
Form last 6-08440
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Havana Sky's Saturday Rating of 57, weak form of -08440, and 12/1 odds signal limited confidence from both analyst and market.
Well beaten here last time and without a win since 2022, Wodao's form has been inconsistent and he is hard to fancy; first-time tongue-tie is fitted, and he is effective over 6f on the all-weather, which is at least a surface point in his favour.
Form last 645-969
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Wodao's Saturday Rating of 40, poor form of 45-969, and 25/1 odds signal no market confidence.
Third here last time, performing to his mark in cheekpieces at this level, Style King is well suited to 5/6f on the all-weather and likes fast ground; form can be patchy but he arrives in decent shape to threaten.
Form last 6926853
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Form reading 926853 and a Saturday Rating of just 60 make Style King's 8/1 odds a poor market proposition at 8-13.
Fourth at Ffos Las last time in a below-par effort, Candy Warhol has yet to win in recent starts and needs to raise his game considerably; stall 12 is a wide draw, though first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces are fitted and he handles this surface.
Form last 6232474
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 41 on Saturday with 25/1 odds and inconsistent form of 232474, Candy Warhol shows little winning appeal.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tuscan Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Adam KirbyCharles Bishop
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Moostar
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · James Owen✓ Value Signal
Candy Warhol
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Scott Dixon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Moostar (SR:74, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 9-5, giving it a weight-and-ability edge over every rival. Crucially, it is the only horse in the field with confirmed DistFit:+ AND GoingFit:+ for today's 6f20y on Good at Wolverhampton, meaning its form figures translate directly to today's conditions. The market has shortened 5% to 3/1 with Cieren Fallon — a 20% career strike-rate jockey — booked, and trainer James Owen operates at 17% from 1,455 runners, a genuinely strong strike rate. The consistent 2-3-2-2-3-6 form string shows a horse that keeps hitting the frame; at Class 5 with the right connections and conditions aligning, this is the pick.
Each-way alternative: Daytona Lady.
Main danger: Daytona Lady — Daytona Lady (SR:69, 7/1) has steamed in 27% in the market — the most significant market move in the race — holds Course:W1P3 form at Wolverhampton, and runs off MarkMv:+5 but with live jockey support suggesting connections are confident despite the higher mark.