David Chapman Memorial Handicap · 6f
Brash carries top weight of 9-9 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 63 and uninspiring form of 773 at 5/1.
Hvar's Saturday Rating of 47, poor recent form (1-0070), and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Carrying top weight 9-9 with inconsistent form 24-474 and a modest Saturday Rating of 63 limits Tie Fighter's appeal at 9/2.
A Saturday Rating of 59, weak 35256- form, and 17/2 odds signal limited winning prospects under 9-6.
Carrying top weight 9-6 with weak 04-45 form and a Saturday Rating of just 61 makes 7/1 unconvincing.
Low Saturday Rating of 56, poor form figures of 881-80, and weak 12/1 odds combine to justify just 2 stars.
Weak form (-08346) and a low Saturday Rating of 59 undermine Northern Tempest's 13/2 market position at 9-0.
Havana Oaks rates poorly with a Saturday Rating of just 33, weak 55-6 form, and 25/1 odds reflecting minimal market confidence.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 65 and inconsistent form (-38242) limit confidence despite fair 15/8 odds.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Brash | 5/1 | — | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Hvar | 16/1 | — | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 3 Tie Fighter | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Mare Of London | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 5 Lamlash Bay | 7/1 open 11.00 | — | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 William Hill |
| 6 Soul Warrior | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Northern Tempest | 13/2 open 8.00 | — | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Havana Oaks | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Long Shot | 15/8 open 3.00 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 2/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Long Shot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalModerate Saturday Rating of 65 and inconsistent form (-38242) limit confidence despite fair 15/8 odds.
Carrying top weight 9-9 with inconsistent form 24-474 and a modest Saturday Rating of 63 limits Tie Fighter's appeal at 9/2.
Brash carries top weight of 9-9 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 63 and uninspiring form of 773 at 5/1.
Weak form (-08346) and a low Saturday Rating of 59 undermine Northern Tempest's 13/2 market position at 9-0.
Carrying top weight 9-6 with weak 04-45 form and a Saturday Rating of just 61 makes 7/1 unconvincing.
A Saturday Rating of 59, weak 35256- form, and 17/2 odds signal limited winning prospects under 9-6.
Low Saturday Rating of 56, poor form figures of 881-80, and weak 12/1 odds combine to justify just 2 stars.
Hvar's Saturday Rating of 47, poor recent form (1-0070), and 16/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Brash (SR 63, 5/1) is joint-top of the SR rankings alongside Tie Fighter and just one point below Long Shot (SR 65), but carries 9-9 on a class drop (↓1) that puts it in a more favourable competitive context. Unlike Long Shot (SR 65, 15/8), Brash does not carry the penalty of proven poor going and distance suitability — Long Shot shows DistFit:- and GoingFit:- at this 6f trip on Good ground, which is a significant red flag for the favourite. Brash's form of 7-7-3 shows a progressive trajectory and the unknown distance/going profile (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) leaves upside open rather than confirmed weakness. Oisin Orr (12% strike rate, 627 career rides) is a competent booking, and the price of 5/1 represents genuine value against a favourite carrying confirmed course-and-distance issues. Each-way alternative: Lamlash Bay. Main danger: Long Shot — Long Shot holds the highest SR in the field (65) and has Tim Easterby's volume operation behind it, but the confirmed DistFit:- and GoingFit:- at 6f on Good ground are serious concerns that the short 15/8 price does not adequately compensate for.