Beaten 10 lengths on her Yarmouth debut 10 days ago, she clearly needs to find more to feature here, though her ranking in the middle of our figures suggests scope for better. Experience at the trip is a small plus, but a significant step forward is needed.
Form last 69
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
146SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Midfield Saturday Rating of 146 and single-run form figure of 9 at 7/1 suggest ability but unproven consistency.
Never given a clear run on debut at York despite showing promise, she was beaten 6½ lengths in a novice and rates as clearly capable of better on today's distance and going. With a pedigree that spans speed and stamina, she is a strong candidate to improve markedly here.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
151SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sovereign Grace's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 151 and single-run form figure of 6 justify a cautious 3/5 despite fair 10/3 market odds.
A Blackbeard filly with a useful half-sister at 10 furlongs in her pedigree, she faces a stiff enough task on her racecourse debut. Midfield on our figures, there is breeding interest here even if the first appearance is likely to be a learning exercise.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 28/1 and an unknown form record make Sweet Iris a risky outsider despite carrying 9-2.
A Caturra filly making her debut at the foot of our figures, she faces a tough task with a yard that has been in modest form recently. Related to a smart 5f performer, the pedigree angle is of some interest, but she appears hard to fancy at this stage.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
134SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 18/1 and a modest Saturday Rating of 134 make Texting an unlikely winner against stronger market rivals.
A Lope Y Fernandez filly on her racecourse bow, she is related to a smart 7f performer and carries mid-field expectations on our figures. Her debut from stall 13 is probably best viewed as an introduction, as she is likely to come on significantly for the experience.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 28/1 and an unproven form record leave Thunder Filly poorly positioned in the market despite carrying 9-2.
Consistent in both starts to date — including a third at Thirsk just five days ago — she handles today's distance and going and looks to have more in the locker. A tendency to pull keenly is the main concern, but she merits respect at this level.
Form last 643
★AI Rating★★★★☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 150 and solid 43 form justify strong market confidence despite 7/1 odds at 9-2 weight.
Stepped up markedly from her opening run with a respectable fourth, beaten 3 lengths in a seller at Musselburgh last time, and she handles today's going. Yet to score, though, and with the trainer struggling for form she looks up against it here.
Form last 694
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 25/1, modest form figures of 94, and a Saturday Rating of 127 confirm Turbo Shandy as an outsider with limited winning prospects.
Unable to quicken on her Hamilton debut 11 days ago, she was beaten 9 lengths in a maiden and clearly needs to find more. Bred to appreciate 6 furlongs and beyond, there is scope for improvement with experience, though the current grade is a test.
Form last 66
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
126SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A single form figure of 6 and 66/1 odds reflect a market with zero confidence in Celita Star's chances.
A strong runner-up at Carlisle on her second start, beaten just half a length in a maiden when stepping up in trip — she handles today's distance and going well. She has a clear chance if reproducing that level, though the trainer's current barren spell adds a degree of uncertainty.
Form last 642
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid 79 Saturday Rating and fair 9/4 odds are tempered by limited form figures of 42 and non-favourite market status.
Third on debut at this course, finishing with a sustained late effort to be beaten 2 lengths, she handles today's trip and conditions well. A top course jockey/trainer combination is a valuable asset, and she heads our figures — the one to beat.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★★☆
154SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 154 and solid 4/1 market support give Halcon strong winning claims despite a single form figure.
Well held in a claimer at Beverley 40 days ago and ranking near the foot of our figures, she looks up against it in this company. She is the type who could improve once eligible for handicaps, but that potential seems unlikely to surface today.
Form last 686
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Odds of 125/1 and weak form figures of 86 signal minimal market confidence despite a 127 Saturday Rating.
A Lucky Vega filly on her racecourse debut, she carries mid-field expectations on our figures and faces a stiff enough task first time out. A dam that achieved little at 5f does not set the bar high, and she looks unlikely to feature prominently today.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
149SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 149 and 8/1 odds suggest market lacks confidence in Spirit Of Lyra's winning chances.
Beaten 9 lengths at Carlisle on her latest start without improving on her debut showing, she needs to find considerably more to get into contention here. At this trip and going she has experience, and a top course trainer connection is a positive, but more is needed.
Form last 605
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 50/1, poor form figures of 05, and a weak Saturday Rating of 125 signal minimal winning chances.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sovereign Grace owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3K R BurkeSam James
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Halcon
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Turbo Shandy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Ivan Furtado◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Halcon (SR 154, 4/1) is the highest-rated runner with a realistic chance, dropping one class from her last run and already showing a placed effort at Ripon itself (Course:W0P1) — the only runner with any form at this track. Tim Easterby is the yard's #1 here given David Allan takes the ride over the stable's 50/1 shot Wells Fargo Stage, and Allan's booking over Fentiman is the clear signal. A single form figure of 3 on debut represents solid novice form, and at 4/1 with no drift, the market is respecting her claims. Travellers Girl (SR 150) is the main rival but has run back-to-back races in just 5 days, which is a concern; Sovereign Grace (SR 151) holds the higher SR but has drifted 8% and is dropping three classes, suggesting connections have limited confidence.
Each-way alternative: Travellers Girl.
Main danger: Travellers Girl — Travellers Girl (SR 150, 7/1) has shortened 9% in the market, holds recent form figures of 4-3 showing consistent improvement, and is running off an equal class mark — the market move on a runner with proven form is a genuine danger signal.
ShortlistHalcon, Travellers Girl, Sovereign Grace, Spirit Of Lyra