Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) · 1m7f204y
Firebrand's consistent form (2832-2) and fair 5/1 odds justify a mid-tier 3/5, but 11-12 weight and non-favourite market status limit confidence.
Form figures of 57-4 and 8/1 odds signal mid-tier potential, but 142 Saturday Rating justifies modest three-star standing.
Massive 200/1 odds and winless 0-0 form reflect a Saturday Rating of 121 with no market confidence.
Long odds of 25/1 and unknown form leave Lengaruka with a Saturday Rating of 121 and minimal market confidence.
Solid 112 Saturday Rating and consistent form (2392-3) at 3/1 justify mid-tier appeal, but non-favourite status limits confidence.
Sent off at 100/1 with weak form (42009-) and a Saturday Rating of 123, Ozark's Walk offers little market confidence.
Rated 121 but carrying 11-4 with a blank form figure and 200/1 odds signal near-zero market confidence.
A 200/1 outsider carrying 11-4 with a form figure of P and a Saturday Rating of 118 offers minimal winning prospects.
Sent off at 66/1 with a poor form reading of F-P7, Finjimk's 123 Saturday Rating failed to justify confidence despite carrying 11-0.
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with solid 32 form and competitive 5/2 odds justify four stars despite not heading the market.
Astelia's 109 Saturday Rating and consistent 270-22 form justify 4/5 stars despite not being market favourite at 7/2.
Rated 143 with form showing two fifth-place finishes and sent off 10/1, How's Ellie lacks the market confidence to justify more than 3 stars.
Poetic Parable's solid 124 Saturday Rating justifies mid-tier appeal, but 28/1 odds signal weak market confidence.
100/1 odds and a single run showing only a completion reflect a horse the market dismisses entirely despite a 125 Saturday Rating.
At 8/1 and carrying 10-7, Pretty Wild's Saturday Rating of 147 suggests mid-tier potential without market confidence to justify higher stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Firebrand | 5/1 | — | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cocofred | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 | 8/1 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 3 Glengarriff | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Lengaruka | 25/1 | — | 22/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Luker's Tipple | 3/1 open 3.75 | — | 3/1 | 3/1 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 10/3 William Hill |
| 6 Ozark's Walk | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Sunny Dude | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Tellyouwhat | 200/1 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Finjimk | 66/1 | — | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | — | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Game Point | 5/2 open 3.25 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 9/4 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Astelia | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 12 How's Ellie | 10/1 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | — | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Poetic Parable | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Dadou Part Two | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Pretty Wild | 8/1 open 9.50 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Game Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with solid 32 form and competitive 5/2 odds justify four stars despite not heading the market.
Solid 112 Saturday Rating and consistent form (2392-3) at 3/1 justify mid-tier appeal, but non-favourite status limits confidence.
Astelia's 109 Saturday Rating and consistent 270-22 form justify 4/5 stars despite not being market favourite at 7/2.
Firebrand's consistent form (2832-2) and fair 5/1 odds justify a mid-tier 3/5, but 11-12 weight and non-favourite market status limit confidence.
Form figures of 57-4 and 8/1 odds signal mid-tier potential, but 142 Saturday Rating justifies modest three-star standing.
At 8/1 and carrying 10-7, Pretty Wild's Saturday Rating of 147 suggests mid-tier potential without market confidence to justify higher stars.
Rated 143 with form showing two fifth-place finishes and sent off 10/1, How's Ellie lacks the market confidence to justify more than 3 stars.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Game Point (SR:154, 5/2) is the standout ability benchmark in this field, with a 32-point SR advantage over the next-best contender How's Ellie (SR:143) and a 7-point edge on Pretty Wild (SR:147). The booking of Jack Kennedy (20% career strike rate, 562 runners) is a significant positive signal — this is a top-flight jockey who does not turn up on maiden hurdle rank-outsiders without confidence from connections. GoingFit:+ on today's good ground confirms the horse handles conditions, and at 4 years old carrying 11-0 it has a significant weight advantage over Firebrand (11-12) and the top-weights. The market at 5/2 reflects genuine confidence, not hype. Each-way alternative: Pretty Wild. Main danger: How's Ellie — How's Ellie (SR:143, 10/1) carries the Mullins yard stamp — 20% career strike rate — and arrives fresh (223 days off) which can signal a deliberate preparation, though the distance and going fits remain unproven (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?).