Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 7f1y
125/1 odds and a single form figure of 6 expose Carrow Road as a 121-rated outsider with little market confidence.
Cavalier's strong Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 11/4 odds justify four stars despite a single run of form.
Strong Saturday Rating of 148 and competitive 9/2 odds with 9-7 weight suggest solid winning claims despite not heading the market.
Long odds of 22/1 and an unproven form record undermine Harbour Prince's prospects despite a Saturday Rating of 126.
At 16/1 in the market carrying 9-7, Mino's Saturday Rating of 133 lacks the market confidence to justify more than 2 stars.
Peak Tram's solid 121 Saturday Rating justifies mid-tier appeal, but 28/1 odds and outsider market position limit confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 155 and competitive 8/11 odds support this 9-7 weighted runner, despite limited form of just one run.
Long odds of 16/1 and an unproven form record undermine Son Of A Fish's Saturday Rating of 132.
Massive 66/1 odds and a low Saturday Rating of 122 signal There Goes My Hero holds little market confidence.
Goblet's 150/1 odds and weak form figures of 04 make this 126-rated runner a long-shot with little winning prospects.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Carrow Road | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cavalier | 11/4 open 4.33 | — | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Drum Bay | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Harbour Prince | 22/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mino | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Peak Tram | 28/1 open 23.00 | — | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Perfect Nation | 8/11 open 1.91 | — | 4/5 open 1.73 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 4/5 open 2.00 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 4/5 Coral |
| 8 Son Of A Fish | 16/1 open 10.00 | — | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 There Goes My Hero | 66/1 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Goblet | 150/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 | 150/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Perfect Nation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 155 and competitive 8/11 odds support this 9-7 weighted runner, despite limited form of just one run.
Cavalier's strong Saturday Rating of 153 and competitive 11/4 odds justify four stars despite a single run of form.
Strong Saturday Rating of 148 and competitive 9/2 odds with 9-7 weight suggest solid winning claims despite not heading the market.
At 16/1 in the market carrying 9-7, Mino's Saturday Rating of 133 lacks the market confidence to justify more than 2 stars.
Long odds of 16/1 and an unproven form record undermine Son Of A Fish's Saturday Rating of 132.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Perfect Nation leads the field on SR at 155 and is the 8/11 favourite, backed by a strong trainer-jockey combination in George Boughey (17%, 695 runners) and Billy Loughnane (18%, 1,548 runners) — one of the sharpest pairings on the juvenile circuit. The form figure of '2' on debut represents a solid foundation; a horse placed on first appearance at Class 3 level stepping up to 7f1y here carries genuine upside. The market has held firm without drift, suggesting stable confidence. The main caveat is Cavalier's 23% market move in — that money is meaningful — but Perfect Nation's SR advantage of 2 points over Cavalier combined with the elite jockey booking tips the balance. Each-way alternative: Cavalier. Main danger: Cavalier — Cavalier has steamed in 23% to 11/4 under Sean Levey for Richard Hannon — that volume of market support in a novice from a powerful yard is a serious signal that the stable expects a big run from this SR-153 debutant.