Roscommon 19:50 RESULTED
6 Jul 2026

Monday 6 July Roscommon Herald Handicap Hurdle (0-100)

Roscommon Herald Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m7f180y

Official Result

Roscommon Herald Handicap Hurdle (0-100)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Western Model (IRE) Sean O'Keeffe · Andrew Kinirons
    9/2
  2. 9/1
  3. 13/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Lingfield (AW)

14:15–17:55 · 8 races

Ayr

14:30–17:30 · 7 races

Roscommon

16:38–20:22 · 8 races

Ripon

18:09–20:52 · 6 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30–21:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Double Power silks
Double Power
Age 6 · 11-13
6600-9
99
74
99OR
6
11-13
16/1 FCST 14/1
Dropped well down the field on his chase debut at Downpatrick most recently and may need more time over fences; the stable landed this race last year, and a first-time visor is added today, though the 3m trip looks a potential stretch given his best form has come at shorter.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-13 with poor recent form of 6600-9 and a weak Saturday Rating of 74 at 16/1 makes Double Power an unlikely contender.

2
Fair Damsel silks
Fair Damsel
Age 8 · 11-12
0/60-5
98
77
98OR
8
11-12
14/1 FCST 12/1
Off a break of over seven weeks and returning with first-time cheekpieces, she is versatile on any ground around 2-2½m; asked to make up too much ground at Wexford last time, finishing fifth beaten eight lengths, and there could be more from her if ridden more prominently.
AI verdict

Poor form (0/60-5), a low Saturday Rating of 77, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.

3
Its Not Over Yet silks
Its Not Over Yet
Age 7 · 11-11
4045-3
97
76
97OR
7
11-11
14/1 FCST 12/1
Finished third, beaten six and a half lengths, at Listowel last time and handles today's trip and ground; fitted with first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces, she needs to take a step forward from that performance to justify her current mark, ranked seventh on our figures.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-11 with a Saturday Rating of just 76, weak 14/1 odds and inconsistent form of 4045-3 make this an unappealing selection.

4
Western Model silks
Western Model
Age 7 · 11-11
525-83
97
86
97OR
7
11-11
9/1 FCST 17/2
Stepped back up to three miles, where he is effective and has been broadly consistent, though seldom getting his head in front; nine lengths adrift in a conditions event at the Curragh last time, he turns out for a trainer in good form and is one of the main dangers.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-11 with a Saturday Rating of 86 and inconsistent form of 525-83 at 9/1 suggests limited winning prospects.

5
Where Are You Now silks
Where Are You Now
Age 5 · 11-10
462-67
96
91
96OR
5
11-10
4/1 FCST 7/2
Looked to travel well in his latest handicap hurdle at Clonmel but couldn't deliver when it mattered, finishing well beaten; first-time cheekpieces may help him fulfil that potential, and he may yet find his level in handicaps, though he may prefer more cut in the ground.
AI verdict

Carries top weight of 11-10 with a Saturday Rating of 91, but patchy form of 462-67 and 4/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects.

6
Tradonthebay silks
Tradonthebay
Age 5 · 11-8
84-255
94
81
94OR
5
11-8
10/1 FCST 9/1
Didn't quite fire on handicap debut at Sligo, comfortably held in a handicap hurdle last time; he handles today's going and, ranked second on our figures, should do better as he settles into handicaps, though today's 3m trip is beyond his most effective range.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-8 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 81, outdated form of 84-255, and 10/1 odds reflect weak market confidence.

7
Mistyburn silks
Mistyburn
Age 6 · 11-6
P731-6
92
84
92OR
6
11-6
10/1 FCST 9/1
Promising point and hurdle form has not carried over to fences under rules; won over this trip at Kilbeggan two runs ago off a 5lb lower mark, but a poor chase outing last time — sixth beaten 21 lengths — means he returns 2lb higher with first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces.
AI verdict

Mistyburn's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 84 and patchy form of P731-6 at 10/1 suggest a place contender but not a win banker.

8
Woodie Campelltown silks
Woodie Campelltown
Age 6 · 11-4
/080-9
90
59
90OR
6
11-4
40/1 FCST 33/1
Down the field in a maiden hurdle at Tramore most recently, finishing well adrift; his form suggests he may be better suited to lower-grade company than this, and our rating of 87 places him outside the main field — hard to fancy on current evidence.
AI verdict

Odds of 40/1, a Saturday Rating of just 59, and a dismal form figure of /080-9 make Woodie Campelltown an extremely unlikely contender.

9
Chasing Crowns silks
Chasing Crowns
Age 6 · 10-13
6390-5
85
72
85OR
6
10-13
14/1 FCST 12/1
Finished fifth, beaten eight lengths, in a handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan last time, appearing short of pace and likely having needed that run; first-time cheekpieces are added, and she handles today's distance and going, though an inconsistent record and a ranking of 13th on our figures limit her appeal.
AI verdict

Chasing Crowns carries top weight of 10-13 with a weak form of 6390-5, a low Saturday Rating of 72, and unfancied odds of 14/1.

10
Katie's Casper silks
Katie's Casper
Age 7 · 10-10
88-952
82
81
82OR
7
10-10
11/2 FCST 5/1
Made clear progress when upped in trip, finishing second beaten just one and a half lengths at Kilbeggan last time; she handles today's distance and ground, is our top-rated runner by some margin, and carries first-time tongue-tie as she looks to build on that career-best effort.
AI verdict

Rated 81 with patchy form (88-952) and carrying 10-10 at 11/2, Katie's Casper offers moderate each-way appeal without compelling market confidence.

11
Written In My Soul silks
Written In My Soul
Age 6 · 10-10
765P-P
82
53
82OR
6
10-10
33/1 FCST 28/1
Recent form has fallen away sharply, with two consecutive exits in handicap hurdles — most recently at Punchestown — and she returns after a break of nearly eight weeks; effective over 2m-2m4f on a sound surface, she faces a stiff test at 3m today and is ranked bottom on our figures.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 53, paired with a dire form of 765P-P and 33/1 odds, makes Written In My Soul a rank outsider with little winning chance.

12
Something Simple silks
Something Simple
Age 6 · 10-9
8PP-04
81
70
81OR
6
10-9
9/1 FCST 15/2
Finished fourth, beaten nine and a half lengths, at Limerick last time and has found handicaps hard going generally, with non-completions earlier in his recent record; his best form has come over shorter than today's 3m trip, and our figures place him towards the tail of the field.
AI verdict

Poor form figures of 8PP-04 and a low Saturday Rating of 70 make 9/1 odds reflect justified market skepticism.

13
Road To The Weir silks
Road To The Weir
Age 10 · 10-8
060-78
80
55
80OR
10
10-8
33/1
Struggled badly when stepped up in class on his chase debut at Kilbeggan latest, finishing well beaten; has given little indication of real ability in his rules outings, and our rating of 88 leaves him ranked outside the field proper — hard to back from any angle.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 55, poor form (060-78), and 33/1 odds highlight Road To The Weir as a rank outsider with little winning evidence.

14
Will It Be You silks
Will It Be You
Age 9 · 10-7
0/80P-
79
51
79OR
9
10-7
28/1 FCST 22/1
Absent for over seven months since being pulled up in a handicap chase at Tramore, and has yet to show he has taken to fences; effective over today's 3m trip and going, but the lengthy layoff and our ranking of 17th of 16 make him very difficult to recommend.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 51, combined with a form of 0/80P- and 28/1 odds, signals a horse with negligible winning prospects.

15
Moonshine Girl silks
Moonshine Girl
Age 7 · 10-5
3P8-72
77
80
77OR
7
10-5
7/1 FCST 13/2
Finished a close second, beaten just a length at Limerick last time off a 2lb lower mark, and today's 3m trip should suit; first-time cheekpieces are added, and she has shown ability despite not yet getting off the mark — our rating of 92 gives her a fighting chance mid-division.
AI verdict

Rated 80 with inconsistent form (3P8-72) and 7/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential but no standout winning case.

16
Queen Kulina silks
Queen Kulina
Age 10 · 10-3
48-F83
75
74
75OR
10
10-3
13/2 FCST 11/2
Bounced back to her best when stepped back up in trip, finishing third beaten five lengths at Kilbeggan most recently, and she appears to be finding her form as a maiden; effective at 2½-3m on today's going, she is ranked sixth on our figures and holds solid claims.
AI verdict

Moderate Saturday Rating of 74 and inconsistent form figures 48-F83 limit confidence despite accessible 13/2 odds and manageable 10-3 weight.

17
Barryroe Madam silks
Barryroe Madam
Age 7 · 11-4
300-00
90
66
90OR
7
11-4
20/1 FCST 16/1
Well beaten in a handicap hurdle at Limerick last time and in need of a better display; she handles today's trip and decent ground well, wanting 3m, and our rating of 92 places her mid-division, though four consecutive unplaced finishes in her recent record are a concern.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-4, a Saturday Rating of 66, and bleak form of 300-00 at 20/1 signals no winning prospects.

18
Ladies Well silks
Ladies Well
Age 6 · 10-9
608-2U
TBA
81
73
81OR
6
10-9
8/1 FCST 15/2
Not at her best of late, with an exit at Kilbeggan on her most recent outing; she can stay today's trip and handles the going, with first-time tongue-tie added, but a run of mixed recent results and a ranking of eighth on our figures make her one to treat with caution.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 73 and inconsistent form figures of 608-2U at 8/1 offer minimal confidence despite carrying 10-9.

19
Tango Theatre silks
Tango Theatre
Age 11 · 11-8
2177-5
94
80
94OR
11
11-8
10/1 FCST 9/1
Beaten eight lengths in a handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan last time, fading in the latter stages on her return from a break; she has won in recent starts and could unlock a better performance from a forward position, with first-time tongue-tie and visor tried today, though her trainer's recent record gives pause.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 11-8 with a Saturday Rating of 80 and patchy form 2177-5 at 10/1 limits confidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Double Power 16/1 14/1 14/1 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 William Hill
2 Fair Damsel 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
3 Its Not Over Yet 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 William Hill
4 Western Model 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 17/2 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 William Hill
5 Where Are You Now 4/1 7/2 7/2 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 William Hill
6 Tradonthebay 10/1 9/1 9/1 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 William Hill
7 Mistyburn 10/1 9/1 9/1 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 William Hill
8 Woodie Campelltown 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Chasing Crowns 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 12/1 16/1 William Hill
10 Katie's Casper 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 5/1 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 William Hill
11 Written In My Soul 33/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Something Simple 9/1 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 15/2 10/1 William Hill
13 Road To The Weir 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 William Hill
14 Will It Be You 28/1 22/1 22/1 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
15 Moonshine Girl 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 17/2 open 7.50 13/2 17/2 William Hill
16 Queen Kulina 13/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 11/2 15/2 William Hill
17 Barryroe Madam 20/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 16/1 22/1 William Hill
18 Ladies Well 8/1 15/2 15/2 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 William Hill
19 Tango Theatre 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 9/1 12/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Where Are You Now

Speculative

Where Are You Now owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 E Bolger Harry Cobden
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Katie's Casper

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Dermot A McLoughlin
✓ Value Signal

Woodie Campelltown

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Rosemary Connors
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Where Are You Now
55.8 4/1
2 10. Katie's Casper
53.2 11/2
3 4. Western Model
50.4 9/1
4 12. Something Simple
49.2 9/1
5 6. Tradonthebay
49.1 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Where Are You Now
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 11-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

Carries top weight of 11-10 with a Saturday Rating of 91, but patchy form of 462-67 and 4/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects.

10
Age 7 · 10-10
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

Rated 81 with patchy form (88-952) and carrying 10-10 at 11/2, Katie's Casper offers moderate each-way appeal without compelling market confidence.

16
Age 10 · 10-3
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

Moderate Saturday Rating of 74 and inconsistent form figures 48-F83 limit confidence despite accessible 13/2 odds and manageable 10-3 weight.

15
Age 7 · 10-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Rated 80 with inconsistent form (3P8-72) and 7/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential but no standout winning case.

18
Age 6 · 10-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 73 and inconsistent form figures of 608-2U at 8/1 offer minimal confidence despite carrying 10-9.

4
Age 7 · 11-11
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

Carrying top weight of 11-11 with a Saturday Rating of 86 and inconsistent form of 525-83 at 9/1 suggests limited winning prospects.

12
Age 6 · 10-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

Poor form figures of 8PP-04 and a low Saturday Rating of 70 make 9/1 odds reflect justified market skepticism.

6
Age 5 · 11-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

Carrying top weight of 11-8 with a moderate Saturday Rating of 81, outdated form of 84-255, and 10/1 odds reflect weak market confidence.

7
Age 6 · 11-6
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

Mistyburn's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 84 and patchy form of P731-6 at 10/1 suggest a place contender but not a win banker.

19
Age 11 · 11-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Carrying top weight of 11-8 with a Saturday Rating of 80 and patchy form 2177-5 at 10/1 limits confidence.

2
Age 8 · 11-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

Poor form (0/60-5), a low Saturday Rating of 77, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.

3
Age 7 · 11-11
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

Carrying top weight of 11-11 with a Saturday Rating of just 76, weak 14/1 odds and inconsistent form of 4045-3 make this an unappealing selection.

9
Age 6 · 10-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

Chasing Crowns carries top weight of 10-13 with a weak form of 6390-5, a low Saturday Rating of 72, and unfancied odds of 14/1.

1
Age 6 · 11-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

Carrying top weight of 11-13 with poor recent form of 6600-9 and a weak Saturday Rating of 74 at 16/1 makes Double Power an unlikely contender.

17
Age 7 · 11-4
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

Carrying top weight of 11-4, a Saturday Rating of 66, and bleak form of 300-00 at 20/1 signals no winning prospects.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Where Are You Now
Confidence: Medium

Where Are You Now holds the field-best SR of 91, a meaningful edge over the next-best Western Model (SR:86) in what is a low-grade 0-100 hurdle. Harry Cobden, a jockey booking at 20% strike rate from 162 rides, is a standout appointment in this company and signals connections mean business. Carrying 11-10 is manageable given the SR advantage — lighter than top-weight Double Power (11-13, SR:74) by 3lb while being a markedly superior horse on ratings. The 5% drift is a mild negative but Cobden's booking and the SR superiority outweigh that concern, and at 4/1 in a 19-runner field the price is workable for what is clearly the most credentialled runner. Each-way alternative: Katie's Casper. Main danger: Katie's Casper — Katie's Casper (SR:81, 11/2) finished second last time out, is lightly weighted at 10-10, and Patrick M O'Brien (5lb claim) adds further weight relief, though the GoingFit:- flag is a genuine concern on today's good ground.

Shortlist Where Are You Now, Katie's Casper, Western Model, Queen Kulina
Each-way: Katie's Casper Danger: Katie's Casper

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m7f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting