Roscommon 16:38 RESULTED
6 Jul 2026

Monday 6 July Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle

Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle · 2m7f180y

Official Result

Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rocky's Howya (IRE) Kevin Healy · Declan Queally
    15/8F
  2. 3/1
  3. 10/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Lingfield (AW)

14:15–17:55 · 8 races

Ayr

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Roscommon

16:38–20:22 · 8 races

Ripon

18:09–20:52 · 6 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30–21:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Getaway Charlie silks
Getaway Charlie
Age 10 · 11-8
P/P00-
106
87
106OR
10
11-8
12/1 16/1 12/1
Inconsistent of late and without a win in his last four starts, he was never in contention when held up at the back at Clonmel most recently; effective up to 3m1f on decent ground, today's distance and conditions suit, but his recent record at 162lb makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

Rated just 87 with a winless form reading P/P00- and sent off at 12/1, Getaway Charlie offers little confidence.

2
Paul Collins silks
Paul Collins
Age 6 · 11-4
1000-P
108
94
108OR
6
11-4
8/1 FCST 15/2
Back over hurdles after a pull-up over fences at Wexford last time, he switches codes now fitted with first-time cheekpieces; recent results have dropped off and he's proven up to 2m6f, so today's longer trip poses a question, though the drop in grade provides some encouragement.
AI verdict

Rated 94 with poor form (1000-P) and a pulled-up last run, Paul Collins carries 11-4 at unconvincing 8/1 odds.

3
Rocky's Howya silks
Rocky's Howya
Age 10 · 11-2
11P-10
116
121
116OR
10
11-2
11/8 6/5 5/4
Three wins in his last five starts highlight a solid profile, and he's proven at today's trip and going; he paid for setting off too freely at the head of affairs over fences here last time out, but drops back hurdling fitted with first-time tongue-tie and visor and holds the clear advantage on our ratings.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 121, competitive 11/8 odds, and solid form figures of 11P-10 justify four stars despite not heading the market.

4
Tullyveery Lad silks
Tullyveery Lad
Age 10 · 11-0
138-50
109
106
109OR
10
11-0
9/2 4/1 9/2
A winner in recent starts and proven at today's distance and going, he found trouble early at Ballinrobe last time and was unable to get competitive; effective from 2m4f to 3m on a sound surface, first-time blinkers add interest as he drops in grade here.
AI verdict

Inconsistent form (138-50) and a mid-field 9/2 market position at 11-0 limit confidence despite a solid 106 Saturday Rating.

5
Howdoyalikeherhome silks
Howdoyalikeherhome
Age 7 · 10-12
2PP-48
117
109
117OR
7
10-12
3/1 FCST 11/4
A consistent hurdler over 2m6f-3m on a sound surface, he made little impression in recent starts over fences but reverts to hurdles now with first-time tongue-tie and blinkers; the drop in grade is a clear plus and he warrants respect held up from behind.
AI verdict

Form figures of 2PP-48 and a Saturday Rating of 109 limit confidence despite competitive 3/1 odds and a workable 10-12 weight.

6
Bocelli's Voice silks
Bocelli's Voice
Age 10 · 10-8
0P8-97
86
66
86OR
10
10-8
18/1 12/1 16/1
Equipped with first-time tongue-tie and blinkers and rated fourth here, he has experience at today's conditions and carries a useful weight; his recent form has been in decline and he's at his best over shorter than today's trip, so a positive response is needed.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 66, poor form figures of 0P8-97, and 18/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this 10-8 weighted outsider.

7
Garnetot silks
Garnetot
Age 5 · 10-8
62F-09
100
80
100OR
5
10-8
20/1 18/1 20/1
With the trainer badly out of form (0/21 in the last fortnight) and ranked seventh here, he'll need a significant turnaround; first-time tongue-tie and blinkers are applied and the drop in grade is welcome, but the going may again be quicker than ideal — his best form came on softer ground.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 80, poor form of 62F-09, and weak 20/1 odds combine to make Garnetot a low-confidence selection.

8
Live My Dream silks
Live My Dream
Age 5 · 10-6
07P7P-
87
68
87OR
5
10-6
18/1 FCST 16/1
Bottom-ranked on our figures and without a win in his last five starts, he was pulled up at Kilbeggan most recently and returns after 73 days off; cheekpieces add a small angle but he needs considerably more improvement to be competitive at this level.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 68, poor form figures of 07P7P-, and 18/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects here.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Getaway Charlie 12/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 Coral
2 Paul Collins 8/1 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
3 Rocky's Howya 11/8 open 2.25 5/4 open 2.20 5/4 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 5/4 11/8 Bet365
4 Tullyveery Lad 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 9/2 Bet365
5 Howdoyalikeherhome 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 11/4 11/4 3/1 Bet365
6 Bocelli's Voice 18/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Garnetot 20/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
8 Live My Dream 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 16/1 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rocky's Howya

Live signal

Rocky's Howya owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Declan Queally Kevin Healy(7)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Howdoyalikeherhome

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Gordon Elliott
✓ Value Signal

Garnetot

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Gordon Elliott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Rocky's Howya
64.7 11/8
2 5. Howdoyalikeherhome
63.3 3/1
3 4. Tullyveery Lad
60.8 9/2
4 2. Paul Collins
53.7 8/1
5 1. Getaway Charlie
47.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rocky's Howya
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 10 · 11-2
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 121 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 121, competitive 11/8 odds, and solid form figures of 11P-10 justify four stars despite not heading the market.

5
Age 7 · 10-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

Form figures of 2PP-48 and a Saturday Rating of 109 limit confidence despite competitive 3/1 odds and a workable 10-12 weight.

4
Age 10 · 11-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

Inconsistent form (138-50) and a mid-field 9/2 market position at 11-0 limit confidence despite a solid 106 Saturday Rating.

2
Age 6 · 11-4
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

Rated 94 with poor form (1000-P) and a pulled-up last run, Paul Collins carries 11-4 at unconvincing 8/1 odds.

1
Age 10 · 11-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

Rated just 87 with a winless form reading P/P00- and sent off at 12/1, Getaway Charlie offers little confidence.

6
Age 10 · 10-8
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 66, poor form figures of 0P8-97, and 18/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this 10-8 weighted outsider.

8
Age 5 · 10-6
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 68, poor form figures of 07P7P-, and 18/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects here.

7
Age 5 · 10-8
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 80, poor form of 62F-09, and weak 20/1 odds combine to make Garnetot a low-confidence selection.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rocky's Howya
Confidence: Medium

Rocky's Howya (SR:121, 11/8) is the class standout in this modest €5,900 claimer — the SR gap over the next-best Howdoyalikeherhome (SR:109) is meaningful in a field of eight where most runners sit below 110. The DistFit:+ flag is the decisive edge in a race over an extended 2m7f180y trip: Rocky's Howya has a proven winning record at today's distance, something no other runner can confirm (every rival shows DistFit:? or worse). Trainer Declan Queally runs at a 15% strike rate from 197 runners (a solid indicator at this level), the horse returns on a MarkMv:= (same mark as last win, so no penalty to overcome), and the form string 11P-10 shows a win last time out on the left of the split and a win two back — the P is explainable as a lone blip in otherwise consistent form. The headgear (tongue-tie + visor) has been applied consistently and is clearly working. Each-way alternative: Howdoyalikeherhome. Main danger: Howdoyalikeherhome — Howdoyalikeherhome (SR:109, 3/1) carries the lightest weight of any realistic contender at 10-12, is Elliott's confirmed yard pick (Stable:1) running just 6 days after its last start which suggests connections are confident, and the GoingFit:~ on good ground means it handles the conditions — if the trip proves too far for Rocky's Howya (DistFit:? for all rivals but this one is at least fit enough to test it), Elliott's runner is best placed to pounce.

Shortlist Rocky's Howya, Howdoyalikeherhome, Tullyveery Lad
Each-way: Howdoyalikeherhome Danger: Howdoyalikeherhome

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m7f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting