Omakase has been in good heart, third last time out and a winner two starts back, with 22 days since her last run, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 128 lb is a hefty burden though, and our figures rank her only 18th of 21.
Form last 613513-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR65RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Miss Crinshawn has been unplaced in her last two outings after a third four starts back and a second six starts back, so she is yet to win in recent form. She has run over today's trip and going and returns after 26 days, while our rating of 66 puts her mid-pack, 14th of 21.
Form last 6243700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR66RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last five, with a seventh two starts back and a seventh four starts back his best finishes, Crosshaven is hard to fancy after 44 days off. He has run on today's going and our figures still leave him near the bottom of the ladder, so he looks one for the background.
Form last 607-070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR58RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Granville Street was third last time out and ran only seven days ago, so he arrives fit, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 75 sits above his official 70, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and that is the main risk.
Form last 6254803
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Miss Australie has been in the frame in three of her last six, including a second two starts back, but she was only sixth last time out just seven days ago. She has run over today's trip and going, yet 139 lb looks a lot to carry off a mark of 69.
Form last 6613426
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR69RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Glittering Gem was second last time out and has been placed in three of her last five, yet she is yet to win in that spell. Back in just seven days with experience of today's going, she carries 138 lb off 68, and our rating of 70 leaves her mid-pack.
Form last 6-32402
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR70RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kaleo Ametsa has run over today's trip and on this going, and a third two starts back shows she can get involved, though she's yet to win in her last three. Our top-rated runner on 85 against an official 68, she's fresh after 44 days off and the one to beat.
Form last 6536
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR85RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Tatum won four starts back and stepped up on two unplaced efforts with a fifth last time out, and she's back quickly after just seven days; she has run over today's trip and going before. Her trainer's 1/31 recent record and 138 lb hold her back, and our rating of 68 ranks her twelfth of 21.
Form last 6531005
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR68RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Harry's Legacy has run over today's trip and going, but he was only ninth last time out and is winless in his last six, with a second five starts back his best finish. A 56-day break and 137 lb are concerns, though our rating of 72 ranks him sixth of 21.
Form last 6320509
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR72RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Alfalfa bounced back with a third last time out just 11 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he's a winner four starts back and a sixth two starts back since then. Our rating of 72 ranks him fifth of 21, though 135 lb leaves little in hand.
Form last 6410-63
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Paradise Lost is fit after a run 13 days ago and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 76 ranks him third of 21 and puts him firmly in the mix off an official 65. The risk is that he's yet to win in his last four, with two fifths his best recent efforts.
Form last 6/90-55
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR76RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Back-to-back thirds latest, including last time out, make Battling Siki a leading threat, and our rating of 76 ranks him second of 21 and well clear of his official mark of 64. The one concern is an 87-day absence, plus 134 lb to carry.
Form last 6745933
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR76RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Medadthebookie has finished sixth last time out and a sixth four starts back, so he is consistent without ever threatening, and he is yet to win in his last four. He has run over today's trip and going, and 24 days since his last run is fine, but 134 lb looks a lot for an official mark of 64, while our rating of 69 only ranks him tenth of 21.
Form last 66606
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR69RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Miss Gitana is hard to fancy, beaten in eighth last time out and without a win in her last six, with a second five starts back and a third six starts back the only real positives. She has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after seven days, but 133 lb is a lot to carry, and our ranking of 20 of 21 says it all.
Form last 6320608
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR63RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Galileo Springs has finished seventh, seventh and sixth in her last three starts and is yet to win in that spell, though she has run on today's going before and returns after 24 days. Carrying 132 lb off an official mark of 62, she looks short of a way in, with our rating of 65 only 15th of 21.
Form last 6677
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR65RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Gallo Dell Cielo looks a tough sell despite the form: three wins in his last five starts and a second last time out, but our figures rank him 19th of 21. He has run on today's going and returns after 29 days, though 132 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 61-1512
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR64RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Grann's Boy arrives in decent heart after a second last time out, and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb after 38 days off, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 65 ranking him 16th of 21.
Form last 670/1-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR65RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, including an eighth last time out, he is hard to fancy, and our rating of 61 ranks him last of 21. He is back quickly after 18 days and has run on today's going, but carrying 132 lb off 62 offers little encouragement.
Form last 600008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR61RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Preparations was seventh last time out and a fifth two starts back, so the form has cooled since a win three starts back, and our figures rank her 17th of 21. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 15 days, though 131 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6-06157
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR65RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Priorstown arrives in good heart after a second last time out, and a winner two starts back, with 24 days since that run and experience of today's going. Carrying 130 lb off an official mark of 66 and ranked ninth of 21 by our rating, he looks more a midfield player than a standout.
Form last 6607012
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tanzanite Diamond has finished fourth in his last two outings and is back after only ten days, though he is yet to win in his last six starts. He has run on today's going and carries 129 lb off 65, but he needs to find more to get involved.
Form last 6450844
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR68RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
My First Rose is hard to fancy, having finished eighth last time out, a sixth two starts back and a seventh three starts back, and she is yet to win in that spell. Her 59 rating leaves her among the lowest-rated in the race, and the only real positive is a break of 36 days since her last run.
Form last 6768
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR59RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Nicky Larson showed some promise with a fourth last time out and a second two starts back, though he is yet to win in his last five and returns after 48 days off. He has run on today's going before and our rating of 71 sits above his official 63, but 127 lb leaves little margin.
Form last 69-5724
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR71RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Flagstone Lady has been in the frame recently, third last time out, and a winner two starts back, but she is hard to fancy at 124 lb, with our rating of 57 putting her at the bottom of this field. A quick 17-day turnaround and previous experience on the going are the positives.
Form last 6608313
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR57RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Priorstown owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2J. P. MurtaghBen Coen
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Nicky Larson
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Paul Nolan✓ Value Signal
Kaleo Ametsa
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Josh Halley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Priorstown (SR:73, 10/3) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next-best is Grann's Boy at SR:65 and Nicky Larson at SR:72. Trained by J.P. Murtagh (11%, 1376 runners) with Ben Coen booked (11%, 1893 runners) — a strong combination for a yard that doesn't over-run its horses. The form string 607012 shows a last-time-out second, suggesting peak fitness, and at 9-4 the weight is manageable for the class. The 10/3 price implies around 23% but the SR edge over the field is genuine enough to nudge the probability up slightly to 28%.
Each-way alternative: Grann's Boy.
Main danger: Grann's Boy — Grann's Boy (SR:65, 6/1) is shortening (Mkt:in9%), carries only 9-6 versus Priorstown's 9-4 for a similar ability level, and the MarkMv:-65 suggests the handicapper has given him significant room to operate from a lenient mark.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG:p flag indicates Priorstown has a headgear change today, suggesting connections are masking a concern or the horse needs extra help to show its best — a red flag in a competitive 22-runner handica…
MarkMv:+7 shows the market has pushed Priorstown out slightly, not in, despite being the SR leader — smart money is not fully endorsing it at 10/3 in an open field.
Nicky Larson (SR:72, 15/2) is ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle (17% strike rate, 1728 runners) — significantly superior jockey booking to Ben Coen (11%), and Nicky Larson is only 1 SR point behind at…
Priorstown's form 607012 includes a '0' two runs back and a '6' three runs back, suggesting inconsistency; the last-time-out second may flatter, as it came on a form cycle that dipped sharply before…