Winless in his last five, Tullyesker has finished ninth, eighth, unplaced and eighth twice, and he is hard to fancy as an outsider on our figures. On the plus side, he's back quickly after eight days, has run over today's trip and going, and runs off a lowly mark of 35 from draw five.
Form last 68-8089
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR45RPR35OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Fresh from a win last time out just ten days ago, Suir Monad has finished third and fourth in the runs before that, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 81 against an official 77, he carries 143 lb from stall 14, with the weight the one reservation.
Form last 6-43431
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lady Arwen booked a third last time out, 11 days ago, and has won twice in her last six starts, a winner four and five starts back, while she has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is an eighth two starts back, and she carries 142 lb from draw 10.
Form last 6011283
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Navajo Point won last time out and alsoScored three starts back, with a fresh 26 days since that success and experience of today's trip and going, but 140 lb from stall seven is a hefty burden, and our rating of 68 ranks him only eleventh of 21.
Form last 6842101
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR68RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unterberg showed a flicker last time with a fourth, but he's winless in his last six and was beaten in the pack in the runs before that. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 74 sits above his official 70, though 140 lb from stall 15 is no gift.
Form last 6088094
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Moyassr dropped to a sixth last time out after three seconds in the three runs before, yet he remains winless in his last six, and he has run over today's trip and going. Fifteen days since his last run keeps him fit, but 139 lb from stall 20 is a stiff ask.
Form last 6082226
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR71RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
No More Porter is a leading danger on our figures, ranked third of 21 with a 75 rating, and he's fresh enough after 18 days off, with experience of today's trip and going. The main risk is a winless run, with a seventh last time out and nothing better than a third five starts back.
Form last 6830457
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR75RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Anvika is a leading danger on our figures, having twice finished third in her last six starts, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before, with 33 days since her last run. The risk is that she's yet to win and was unplaced last time out.
Form last 6033650
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR76RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Spectical has been running respectably without getting there, with a fifth, a fourth and a fifth before an unplaced run last time out, and he returns after 97 days off. He has run over today's trip and runs from stall 17, but he is yet to win in his last four starts.
Form last 654-50
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR70RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Unplaced in his last two, though a third three starts back and a win six starts back show he can hit the frame, and he has run over today's trip and going. Back out just four days after his last run and carrying 134 lb from draw 19, he looks a mid-pack type, with our rating of 69 ranking him ninth of 21.
Form last 6156300
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR69RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last five, Marta's Prince was eighth last time out after a fifth two starts back, and he returns from 75 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 134 lb from stall 13 and rated 66 by us, he looks more of a midfield type.
Form last 647-058
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR66RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Thru And Thru is yet to win in her last six, but a fourth last time out and a third two starts back show she is in reasonable heart, and she is back quickly after eight days. Carrying 134 lb from draw 12, she has run over this trip and on this going, though she looks more of a placer than a winner.
Form last 6060034
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR69RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Khormor Syd won last time out and was second in the two runs before that, but a 126-day absence raises fitness questions, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 68 ranks him 12th of 21, so he looks a midfield sort carrying 133 lb from stall four.
Form last 679-221
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR68RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, Morse was unplaced last time out and has a fourth three starts back as his best recent finish, though he's had a fresh 20 days to recover. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 sits above his official 63, but 133 lb from stall 11 is a lot to ask.
Form last 670-470
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR71RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Tero d'Rosa was second last time out after three modest efforts (a sixth, a fourth and another sixth), and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 30-day break and 131 lb from stall two are neutral, while our rating of 67 ranks him 14th of 21, which tempers the case.
Form last 6166462
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR67RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nibras Rainbow has been running well, a second last time out and a third two starts back, and he's fresh enough after ten days, but he's still winless since six starts back. Carrying 130 lb from stall six, he has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating ranks him only 18th of 21.
Form last 6139332
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR60RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Storzando was second last time out and fresh from a 15-day break, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and the results before that were patchy, with an eighth three starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, yet carrying 130 lb from stall 21, he is hard to fancy at 16th of 21 on our figures.
Form last 6370842
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out, but that's her only success in her last six starts, with a run of fourth, fifth, sixth and two further fourths before it, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 127 lb from stall 16, she is hard to fancy with our figures ranking her 17th of 21.
Form last 6446541
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR61RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Private Peaceful is winless in his last three, finishing eighth last time out after a fifth and a sixth, though he's back quickly after ten days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 68 sits above his official mark of 60, but a midfield profile holds him back from standing out.
Form last 6658
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR68RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
King Of Eze is winless in his last four, unplaced last time out and again two starts back, with a seventh three starts back the best of it. He has run over today's trip and is back after 17 days, but 121 lb from stall nine looks a lot, and our rating of 51 ranks him 20th of 21.
Form last 60700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR51RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Chloe's Boy is hard to fancy, with a fifth last time out following an eighth and just one win in his last six starts, a victory three starts back. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh from eight days ago, but our figures rank him 19th of 21.
Form last 6009185
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
35SR52RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Metallic is winless in his last four, unplaced in his last three and an eighth four starts back, so he is hard to fancy back after just eight days. He has run on today's going and drops in from draw 1, but our figures rank him last of 21.
Form last 68000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR51RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Suir Monad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2A. SlatterySam Coen(5)
85%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Navajo Point
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
17/2 · Martin Hassett✓ Value Signal
Tullyesker
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Donal Kinsella◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Suir Monad (SR:75, 9/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a significant margin — the next best are Navajo Point and Khormor Syd at SR:67 — and at 3 years old carries 10-3, which is heavy but reflective of that ability advantage. The form string -43431 shows consistent recent placing including a last-run win (rightmost digit 1), and trainer A. Slattery (11%, 1580 runners) is a competent handler. The MarkMv:+8 is the one caution — running off a mark 8lb higher than the last win — but the SR gap over the rest of the field is large enough to absorb that penalty. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are unknowns, but at SR:75 in a field where the next rivals are SR:67, this horse has a meaningful class edge.
Each-way alternative: Khormor Syd.
Main danger: Metallic — Metallic (SR:47, 10/1) has steamed in 36% since opening — the strongest market move in the race — trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16%, 3235 runners, the standout trainer strike rate in the field), and apprentice allowance reduces the weight to an effective low burden from 8-7.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Carries 10-3 — heaviest weight in the field by a full stone-plus over several rivals; in a 22-runner handicap on soft autumn Curragh ground, this burden is significant for a 3-year-old.
MarkMv:+8 means competing off a mark 8lb above last winning mark, and trainer A. Slattery's 11% strike rate offers no strong evidence of placing horses to win off a raised mark.
Jockey Sam Coen (5lb claim) has a 12% strike rate from 428 rides — modest — and the 5lb claim is negated by the weight, giving no practical weight relief while adding an inexperience risk in a large,…
Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown; Khormor Syd (SR:67, last-run winner, 126 days off — fresh) and Navajo Point (SR:67, also last-run winner) are only 8 SR points behind and carry 9-7 and 10-0 res…
ShortlistSuir Monad, Khormor Syd, Metallic, Navajo Point