Racing Tv Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 2m47y
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Cockle Bay Wharf | 18/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Saint De Gemix | 10/3 open 4.00 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 Still Game | 11/4 open 2.25 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.62 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Velvet Outlaw | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 5/6 open 2.50 | 5/6 open 2.50 | 10/11 open 2.50 | 10/11 open 2.38 | 10/11 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Velvet Outlaw owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Velvet Outlaw (SR:152, 6/4) combines the strongest connections in the field with a stable market: Olly Murphy (23% strike rate from 1,817 runners) and Sean Bowen (24% from 2,410 runners) are a top-tier pairing for a bumper of this nature, and the price has held firm with no drift. The SR of 152 is second-highest in the field but the connections advantage over Still Game's drifting 15/8 is decisive — Skelton/Skelton are excellent but Still Game has drifted 9% (Mkt:out9%), a clear signal of reduced confidence. Velvet Outlaw's single prior run ended in a fall (Form:F-), which is an isolated incident rather than a pattern, and a 4-year-old from a powerful yard represents the archetypal bumper improver. Carrying 11-3 matches Saint De Gemix and Still Game, giving no weight disadvantage against the SR peers. Each-way alternative: Still Game. Main danger: Still Game — Still Game holds the highest SR in the field at 154 and Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton remain elite bumper connections despite the 9% drift, and a debut run with no form line offers no evidence of a ceiling.