Brighton 13:32 RESULTED
Class 6 15 Oct 2026

Yesterday Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Stakes

Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Stakes · 5f215y

Official Result

Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Roman Spring (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Rachel Cook & John Bridger
    9/2
  2. 28/1
  3. Third Unico (GB)
    6/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Grand Citadel silks
Grand Citadel
Age 5 · 9-9
532108
55
54
57
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 11/2 7/1
Grand Citadel returns after 103 days on the back of an eighth last time out, though she was a winner three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from stall nine, she is rated 57 by us, sixth of 11, so a midfield finish looks most likely.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Danger Alert silks
Danger Alert
Age 6 · 9-9
496684
55
58
61
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 13/2 11/2
Fourth last time out and just ten days ago, so he arrives fit, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 61 ranks him second of 11 from draw 1. The risk is that he is winless in his last six, with a sixth and a ninth in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Bessie Wallis silks
Bessie Wallis
Age 3 · 9-8
544878
55
34
59
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Bessie Wallis comes here fresh from a run just 10 days ago and has experience of both today's trip and the going, while our rating of 59 ranks her third of 11. The risk is a form line of eighth, seventh and eighth in her last three, leaving her yet to win in her last six.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

4
Roman Spring silks
Roman Spring
Age 6 · 9-8
542116
54
63
51
6
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 10/3 9/2
Roman Spring won two and three starts back but was only sixth last time out, and he's quick back after nine days. Our figures rank him ninth of 11 with a rating of 51 against an official 54, though he has run over today's trip and going and has the winning form to lean on.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Stock Market silks
Stock Market FAV
Age 3 · 9-8
253302
55
68
66
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 9/2
Runner-up last time out just nine days ago, Stock Market has finished second, third and third in three of his last four starts bar one blip, and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 66 makes him the one to beat, though he is yet to win in recent form.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Big Bard silks
Big Bard
Age 8 · 9-7
906655
53
55
55
8
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1
Big Bard has run to a consistent level, finishing fifth in each of his last two starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet he is winless in his last six, and a yard in cold form (1/25 over the last 14 days) offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Bonnita silks
Bonnita
Age 4 · 9-7
15-089
53
40
51
4
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 11/1 16/1
Bonnita is hard to fancy after a ninth last time out and an eighth two starts back, with her only win five starts back now a distant memory. She has run over today's trip and going, though, and our rating of 51 ranks her tenth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Rianka silks
Rianka
Age 3 · 9-6
457195
53
50
48
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 10/1
Rianka was fifth last time out and ninth two starts back, with her one win coming three starts back, so recent form is patchy. She has run over today's trip and going and has had 33 days off, but carrying 132 lb from draw 4, our figures rank her last of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Unico silks
Unico
Age 5 · 9-6
38-898
52
48
57
5
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
8/1 9/1 7/1
Unico has finished eighth, ninth, eighth and eighth in her last four outings after a third five starts back, so she is winless and fading, though she has run over today's trip and our rating of 57 sits above her official 52. Carrying 132 lb from draw 3 after 31 days off, she looks a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

10
Mart silks
Mart
Age 5 · 9-4
360269
50
45
56
5
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 11/1
Mart has been beaten in his last six starts, with a ninth last time out and a second three starts back, and a 33-day break follows that. He has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 56 sits above his official 50, though carrying 130 lb from draw 10 leaves him with plenty to do.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Valadero silks
Valadero FAV
Age 5 · 9-3
783125
49
65
58
5
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 10/3
Valadero arrives quick off a nine-day break after a second two starts back and a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a fifth last time out, so he needs to bounce back from that effort.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Grand Citadel 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Paddy Power
2 Danger Alert 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
3 Bessie Wallis 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Roman Spring 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
5 Stock Market 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
6 Big Bard 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 Bet365
7 Bonnita 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Rianka 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Unico 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
10 Mart 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Valadero 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Valadero

Speculative

Valadero owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Brian Toomey Tom Marquand
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Stock Market

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Tony Carroll
✓ Value Signal

Bessie Wallis

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Michael Attwater
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Valadero
52.8 4/1
2 5. Stock Market
52.1 9/2
3 4. Roman Spring
46.8 9/2
4 6. Big Bard
45.6 6/1
5 1. Grand Citadel
45.2 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Valadero
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Valadero FAV
Age 5 · 9-3
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-6
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾 —

SR 45 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾 —

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Valadero
Confidence: Speculative

Valadero (SR:65, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field alongside Stock Market, but carries only 9-3 — the lightest competitive weight — giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over Stock Market (9-8) and Roman Spring (9-8). Its form string 783125 shows a recent win (penultimate run) and a placed effort last time, and it has course form (Course:W1P2) at Brighton that no rival can match among the top-rated horses. The market has backed it in 15% (Mkt:in15%) and Tom Marquand's booking (16% strike rate, 2590 career rides) is the strongest jockey assignment in the race — connections clearly mean business. GoingFit:- applies to every runner here, so that negative cancels out across the field. Each-way alternative: Roman Spring. Main danger: Roman Spring — Roman Spring (SR:63, 5/1) has an outstanding course record (Course:W3P4 — three wins at Brighton) that is the best track stat in the field, and its form 542116 shows consecutive wins before last time, making it the most obvious threat if Valadero's weight advantage doesn't tell.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Stock Market (SR:68) is actually the highest-rated horse in the field, 3lbs superior to Valadero on ratings, and despite carrying 9-8 is trained by Tony Carroll (13% strike rate) with a claimer on 17…
  • Roman Spring has superior course form (W3P4 vs Valadero's W1P2) at Brighton, is fresh off a recent win in its last two runs (form 542116), and at 5/1 is actually shorter in the market than Valadero a…
  • Valadero's form string 783125 shows the win was two runs ago and last time out was only a placed effort — the penultimate-run winner pattern at a 9-day turnaround needs to improve again today, and th…
  • The trainer Brian Toomey has only an 11% strike rate from a small yard (153 rides), which is the weakest training operation among the leading fancies — connections' 'meaning business' narrative rests…
Shortlist Valadero, Roman Spring, Stock Market
Each-way: Roman Spring Danger: Roman Spring

🗺 The Course Class 6

5f215y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Brighton Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade