Fontwell 15:29 RESULTED
Class 4 15 Oct 2026

Yesterday BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race) · 2m1f162y

Official Result

BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Katios Queen (IRE) Tristan Durrell · Dan Skelton
    2/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 125/1
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12:55–16:50 · 8 races

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13:44–17:14 · 7 races

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16:30–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Emerald Quest silks
Emerald Quest FAV
Age 6 · 11-4
3/14-
—
162
—
6
11-4
★★★★☆
—
5/6 2/5 4/5
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Katios Queen silks
Katios Queen
Age 5 · 11-4
133-
—
162
—
5
11-4
★★★★★
—
7/4 3/2 31/19
SR 162 and market confidence at 15/8 make this the class act.
AI verdict

SR 162 and market confidence at 15/8 make this the class act.

3
Morissette silks
Morissette
Age 6 · 11-4
253-46
—
126
—
6
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 50/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sky Blue Ribbon silks
Sky Blue Ribbon
Age 5 · 11-4
F2P-45
—
126
—
5
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
80/1 FCST 66/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Georgie's Lady silks
Georgie's Lady
Age 4 · 11-3
9-964
—
126
—
4
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
66/1 40/1 50/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Roxy Russet silks
Roxy Russet
Age 4 · 11-3
7F20-
—
142
—
4
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 6/1 9/2
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Emerald Quest 5/6 open 1.57 4/5 open 1.40 5/6 open 1.44 5/6 open 1.44 10/11 open 1.44 5/6 open 1.44 10/11 William Hill
2 Katios Queen 7/4 open 2.50 13/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 Bet365
3 Morissette 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Sky Blue Ribbon 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 — 80/1 Bet365
5 Georgie's Lady 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
6 Roxy Russet 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Emerald Quest

High conviction

Emerald Quest owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (90) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/6 Neil Mulholland Harry Cobden
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Katios Queen

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Georgie's Lady

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · David Dennis
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +34.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Emerald Quest
76.5 5/6
2 2. Katios Queen
75.0 7/4
3 6. Roxy Russet
65.9 11/2
4 5. Georgie's Lady
53.8 66/1
5 3. Morissette
49.4 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Katios Queen
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-4
5/6
★★★★☆ SR 162 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 5 · 11-4
7/4
★★★★★ SR 162 🐾 —

SR 162 and market confidence at 15/8 make this the class act.

6
Age 4 · 11-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Katios Queen
Confidence: Speculative

Katios Queen (SR:162, 15/8) matches the favourite's SR but brings meaningful advantages the price reflects: Course:W1P1 at Fontwell is a concrete edge in a 6-runner maiden, Dan Skelton's 22% strike rate is identical to Harry Cobden's but Skelton's yard is deploying a horse dropping three classes (ClassMv:↓3) with market support (Mkt:in5%), not drift. The favourite Emerald Quest (SR:162, 4/7) has drifted 7% since opening (Mkt:out7%), has been off 189 days, runs in a tongue-tie for the first time (HG:t — first-time headgear often signals a problem being corrected rather than improvement), and its form string '3/14-' shows a blank last run. Katios Queen's form '133-' is consistent placed form over two recent seasons, and at 15/8 versus 4/7, there is real value opposing a drifting favourite with a course-proven, well-backed rival at over double the price. The Mulholland stable's #1 should be Emerald Quest given the Cobden booking, but the drift undermines that signal significantly. Each-way alternative: Roxy Russet. Main danger: Emerald Quest — Emerald Quest shares SR:162, has the best jockey booking in Harry Cobden (22% career strike rate), and the three-class drop brings it into a race it should handle on raw ability — if the drift is just market noise rather than a stable signal, it wins.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 272 days off — longest absence in the field; a 5yo mare returning from 9+ months off for Dan Skelton (primarily a bumper/novice yard) has significant fitness questions in a rare Fontwell start.
  • Jockey downgrade is notable: Skelton deploys Tristan Durrell (15% strike rate, 449 rides) rather than a stable-retained senior jockey, suggesting this is not a yard-confident first-string ride despit…
  • Form string '133-' ends on a blank dash — the last run is unknown/void, meaning the 'consistent placed form' narrative rests on two seasons ago; recency of form is actually weak.
  • The 5% market move in on a 6-runner maiden at 15/8 is a modest signal; with only 6 runners the absolute money volume is small and may not reflect genuine stable confidence over the class drop.
Shortlist Katios Queen, Emerald Quest, Roxy Russet
Each-way: Roxy Russet Danger: Emerald Quest

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m1f162y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade