Southwell (AW) 17:00 RESULTED
Class 4 15 Oct 2026

Yesterday Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes · 1m13y

Official Result

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Magic Trip (GB) P. J. McDonald · Andrew Balding
    100/30
  2. 5/1
  3. Third Raggaas (GB)
    12/1
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12:55–16:50 · 8 races

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Southwell (AW)

16:30–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rajeko silks
Rajeko
Age 4 · 10-0
000095
80
68
94
4
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 11/1
Rajeko steps up from a fifth last time out, 18 days ago, and has run over today's trip and on this going before, though he is winless in his last six. Our rating of 94 puts him top of the 11 against an official mark of 80, and he carries 140 lb from draw 10.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Jungle Ruler silks
Jungle Ruler FAV
Age 3 · 9-13
543276
82
85
86
3
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 10/3 5/2
Jungle Ruler has been consistent without a win, finishing second and third in his last six, and he's back after 18 days with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating of 86 ranks him second of 11, though his sixth last time out is the main worry.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Raggaas silks
Raggaas
Age 3 · 9-12
442167
81
80
78
3
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 7/1 14/1
Raggaas has slipped to a sixth then a seventh in his last two starts, which makes him hard to fancy after a win three starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 78 ranks him tenth of eleven, and 138 lb from stall seven offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Diligent Resdev silks
Diligent Resdev
Age 5 · 9-12
-96960
78
73
84
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/2 17/2
Quick back-up after six days and still without a win, but Diligent Resdev has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 84 ranks him third of 11 from stall two. The risk is a recent run of sixths and ninths, with an unplaced effort last time.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nursia silks
Nursia
Age 3 · 9-10
5-1582
79
77
75
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 5/1 15/2
Nursia is hard to fancy, ranked last of 11 on our figures with a 75 rating, and he was eighth and fifth in the two runs before a pleasing second last time out, 23 days ago. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and he won four starts back.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Magic Trip silks
Magic Trip
Age 3 · 9-8
350523
77
82
79
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 11/4 3/1
Magic Trip arrives fit after 12 days off, a third last time out and a second two starts back showing he's in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last six, he's ranked eighth of eleven by our rating and carries 134 lb from draw 3.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mystic Moment silks
Mystic Moment
Age 3 · 9-8
-65825
77
55
81
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 25/1
Mystic Moment arrives winless in her last five, though a second two starts back and a fifth last time out show some consistency; she has run over today's trip, but 38 days off and 134 lb leave her with plenty to prove from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Peel Park silks
Peel Park
Age 3 · 9-7
6-6755
76
77
79
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 9/2
Peel Park has finished fifth in his last two starts, but he is winless in his last five and returns after 111 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 79 sits above his official 76, though he carries 133 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Island Bear silks
Island Bear
Age 3 · 9-7
464513
76
81
83
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 7/2 9/1
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Island Bear is in good heart and back quickly after only ten days, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 83 sits well clear of his official 76, but the main risk is 133 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Light Speed silks
Light Speed
Age 6 · 9-5
3894-6
71
51
78
6
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 25/1
Light Speed is winless in his last five, with a sixth last time out and a fourth two starts back, and his only top-three finish came five starts back, so he is hard to fancy from nines-and-eights form. He has run over this trip and on this going, but the yard is cold at 1/26 and our rating of 78 ranks him ninth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Illy's Roo silks
Illy's Roo
Age 3 · 9-4
154996
73
70
82
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 12/1
Illy's Roo has gone sixth, ninth, ninth in his last three, so recent form is a concern, though he has run over today's trip and going and won six starts back. Our rating of 82 sits above his official 73, and he's fit enough after 23 days off, carrying 130 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rajeko 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 William Hill
2 Jungle Ruler 11/4 open 9.50 11/4 open 9.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.33 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 Bet365
3 Raggaas 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Diligent Resdev 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Paddy Power
5 Nursia 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Bet365
6 Magic Trip 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 Paddy Power
7 Mystic Moment 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Peel Park 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 Paddy Power
9 Island Bear 11/1 open 4.50 11/1 open 5.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 5.50 12/1 William Hill
10 Light Speed 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Illy's Roo 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jungle Ruler

Speculative

Jungle Ruler owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Michael Appleby Jason Watson
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Peel Park

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Light Speed

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Ruth Carr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Jungle Ruler
58.5 11/4
2 8. Peel Park
54.7 9/2
3 6. Magic Trip
53.0 3/1
4 5. Nursia
51.2 8/1
5 4. Diligent Resdev
46.8 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Magic Trip
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-13
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-8
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Magic Trip
Confidence: Speculative

Magic Trip (SR:82, 10/3, 9-8) is the joint-second highest SR in the field, carries a favourable weight of 9-8 compared to Jungle Ruler's 9-13, and is proven at this distance (DistFit:+) — a concrete advantage over Jungle Ruler's DistFit:-. Andrew Balding's 18% trainer strike rate is among the best in the field, P.J. McDonald at 14% is a reliable booking, and a prior place at Southwell (Course:W0P1) shows the horse handles the track. GoingFit:~ is not ideal but not a genuine negative, and importantly there are no alarming market signals — the price has held firm with no drift, unlike several rivals who have drifted sharply. The form string 350523 shows consistency without big wins but steady competitiveness at this level, and ClassMv:= means no step up into unknown territory. Each-way alternative: Jungle Ruler. Main danger: Jungle Ruler — Jungle Ruler carries the highest SR in the field (85), has course form (W1P1 at Southwell), is proven on this going (GoingFit:+), and an 18% market move inward is a significant signal of stable confidence that cannot be dismissed.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jungle Ruler (SR:85) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has moved in 18% in the market, suggesting stable support for the top-rated rival who also has a course win (W1P1) versus Magic Trip's…
  • Magic Trip's form string 350523 shows no win in six outings and a recent fifth last time out — a horse that consistently places without winning raises questions about a winning instinct at this level.
  • Island Bear (SR:81) has a course win and is fresher at 10 days since last run with a strong jockey booking (Rossa Ryan 18%), yet drifted 73% — the market may be signalling something negative about th…
  • GoingFit:~ for Magic Trip on Southwell AW is a genuine unknown — no confirmed preference for today's surface conditions, while Jungle Ruler and Raggaas both carry headgear markers (p/t) suggesting co…
Shortlist Magic Trip, Jungle Ruler, Raggaas, Illy's Roo
Each-way: Jungle Ruler Danger: Jungle Ruler

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade