Rajeko steps up from a fifth last time out, 18 days ago, and has run over today's trip and on this going before, though he is winless in his last six. Our rating of 94 puts him top of the 11 against an official mark of 80, and he carries 140 lb from draw 10.
Form last 6000095
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR94RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Jungle Ruler has been consistent without a win, finishing second and third in his last six, and he's back after 18 days with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating of 86 ranks him second of 11, though his sixth last time out is the main worry.
Form last 6543276
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Raggaas has slipped to a sixth then a seventh in his last two starts, which makes him hard to fancy after a win three starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 78 ranks him tenth of eleven, and 138 lb from stall seven offers little encouragement.
Form last 6442167
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR78RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Quick back-up after six days and still without a win, but Diligent Resdev has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 84 ranks him third of 11 from stall two. The risk is a recent run of sixths and ninths, with an unplaced effort last time.
Form last 6-96960
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR84RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nursia is hard to fancy, ranked last of 11 on our figures with a 75 rating, and he was eighth and fifth in the two runs before a pleasing second last time out, 23 days ago. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and he won four starts back.
Form last 65-1582
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR75RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Magic Trip arrives fit after 12 days off, a third last time out and a second two starts back showing he's in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last six, he's ranked eighth of eleven by our rating and carries 134 lb from draw 3.
Form last 6350523
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR79RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mystic Moment arrives winless in her last five, though a second two starts back and a fifth last time out show some consistency; she has run over today's trip, but 38 days off and 134 lb leave her with plenty to prove from stall nine.
Form last 6-65825
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Peel Park has finished fifth in his last two starts, but he is winless in his last five and returns after 111 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 79 sits above his official 76, though he carries 133 lb from stall 11.
Form last 66-6755
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR79RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Island Bear is in good heart and back quickly after only ten days, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 83 sits well clear of his official 76, but the main risk is 133 lb from stall one.
Form last 6464513
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR83RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Light Speed is winless in his last five, with a sixth last time out and a fourth two starts back, and his only top-three finish came five starts back, so he is hard to fancy from nines-and-eights form. He has run over this trip and on this going, but the yard is cold at 1/26 and our rating of 78 ranks him ninth of eleven.
Form last 63894-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR78RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Illy's Roo has gone sixth, ninth, ninth in his last three, so recent form is a concern, though he has run over today's trip and going and won six starts back. Our rating of 82 sits above his official 73, and he's fit enough after 23 days off, carrying 130 lb from stall four.
Form last 6154996
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR82RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jungle Ruler owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Michael ApplebyJason Watson
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Peel Park
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Roger Varian✓ Value Signal
Light Speed
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Ruth Carr◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Magic Trip (SR:82, 10/3, 9-8) is the joint-second highest SR in the field, carries a favourable weight of 9-8 compared to Jungle Ruler's 9-13, and is proven at this distance (DistFit:+) — a concrete advantage over Jungle Ruler's DistFit:-. Andrew Balding's 18% trainer strike rate is among the best in the field, P.J. McDonald at 14% is a reliable booking, and a prior place at Southwell (Course:W0P1) shows the horse handles the track. GoingFit:~ is not ideal but not a genuine negative, and importantly there are no alarming market signals — the price has held firm with no drift, unlike several rivals who have drifted sharply. The form string 350523 shows consistency without big wins but steady competitiveness at this level, and ClassMv:= means no step up into unknown territory.
Each-way alternative: Jungle Ruler.
Main danger: Jungle Ruler — Jungle Ruler carries the highest SR in the field (85), has course form (W1P1 at Southwell), is proven on this going (GoingFit:+), and an 18% market move inward is a significant signal of stable confidence that cannot be dismissed.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Jungle Ruler (SR:85) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has moved in 18% in the market, suggesting stable support for the top-rated rival who also has a course win (W1P1) versus Magic Trip's…
Magic Trip's form string 350523 shows no win in six outings and a recent fifth last time out — a horse that consistently places without winning raises questions about a winning instinct at this level.
Island Bear (SR:81) has a course win and is fresher at 10 days since last run with a strong jockey booking (Rossa Ryan 18%), yet drifted 73% — the market may be signalling something negative about th…
GoingFit:~ for Magic Trip on Southwell AW is a genuine unknown — no confirmed preference for today's surface conditions, while Jungle Ruler and Raggaas both carry headgear markers (p/t) suggesting co…